668 FNUS52 KILM 011417 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 .DISCUSSION.. More humid and unsettled conditions will prevail into the weekend, with showers and a few TSTMs later today, moving from SW to NE. A strong cold front will cross the coast early next week, bringing much colder air, and drying trends. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight...Moderate to High, late. NCZ105>110-020630- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 90 80 0 Precip type Showers Tstms None LAL 2 3 1 Min/Max Temp 70 46 65 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SW 4 NW 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 W 4 W 5 Precip amount 0.11 0.10 0.00 Precip duration 3 3 Inversion 57/1000 1800 59/1100 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 57 100 52 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 2 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3310 3280 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 NW 8 Ventilation rate 23170 26240 ADI early 15 Gen poor 3 Very poor 29 Fair ADI late 20 Gen poor 3 Very poor 28 Fair Max LVORI early 8 7 8 Max LVORI late 3 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 73 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 66 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-020630- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 100 80 0 Precip type Tstms Tstms None LAL 2 3 1 Min/Max Temp 69 44 64 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SE 4 NW 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 6 W 3 NW 3 Precip amount 0.21 0.12 0.00 Precip duration 5 3 Inversion 58/1000 1800 53/0900 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 58 100 52 DSI 2 1 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2320 3250 Transport wnd (mph) S 10 NW 6 Ventilation rate 23200 19500 ADI early 23 Fair 2 Very poor 32 Fair ADI late 28 Fair 3 Very poor 27 Fair Max LVORI early 9 5 9 Max LVORI late 3 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 44 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 66 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 32 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ039-054>056-058-059-020630- Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown- Central Horry-Northern Horry- Including the cities of Kingstree, Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 90 60 0 Precip type Tstms Tstms None LAL 2 3 1 Min/Max Temp 69 49 68 Wnd20ft/early(mph) LGT/VAR SW 4 W 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 6 SW 4 W 5 Precip amount 0.21 0.08 0.00 Precip duration 5 1 Inversion 59/1000 1800 60/1100 Dispersion Fair Max/Min RH (%) 65 100 52 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2190 3600 Transport wnd (mph) S 9 W 8 Ventilation rate 19710 28800 ADI early 28 Fair 4 Very poor 28 Fair ADI late 30 Fair 3 Very poor 28 Fair Max LVORI early 8 8 8 Max LVORI late 4 9 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH 68 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 35 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-020630- Florence-Marion- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, and Mullins 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 90 60 0 Precip type Tstms Tstms None LAL 2 3 1 Min/Max Temp 68 48 66 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 SW 4 NW 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 7 SW 3 NW 3 Precip amount 0.25 0.09 0.00 Precip duration 6 2 Inversion 59/1000 1800 59/1000 Dispersion Poor Max/Min RH (%) 66 100 52 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 3 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2270 3320 Transport wnd (mph) SW 13 NW 5 Ventilation rate 29510 16600 ADI early 30 Fair 4 Very poor 28 Fair ADI late 31 Fair 3 Very poor 28 Fair Max LVORI early 9 7 9 Max LVORI late 3 8 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 68 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-020630- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 917 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2019 Today Tonight Sat Cloud amount Cloudy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 90 70 0 Precip type Tstms Tstms None LAL 2 3 1 Min/Max Temp 68 45 64 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 W 4 LGT/VAR Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR Precip amount 0.24 0.11 0.00 Precip duration 7 3 Inversion 60/1100 1800 57/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 67 100 52 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2010 3290 Transport wnd (mph) S 7 N 3 Ventilation rate 14070 9870 ADI early 26 Fair 3 Very poor 28 Fair ADI late 31 Fair 1 Very poor 23 Fair Max LVORI early 8 6 9 Max LVORI late 4 8 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely with isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Cooler. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 66 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 66 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 33 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 8