047 
FXUS64 KLUB 251707
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1107 AM CST Mon Feb 25 2019

.AVIATION...
VFR next 24 hours with seasonably breezy conditions during the
day.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 256 AM CST Mon Feb 25 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Largely zonal flow aloft this week will keep any cold air intrusions 
from reaching the Southern Plains of West Texas.

A series of cold front will attempt to make their way into the 
region this week. But first, surface lee troughing today will garner 
some breezy south-southwest winds and temperatures above seasonal 
averages. The first cold front will move into the Texas Panhandle on 
Tuesday. This front could breach the extreme southeastern Panhandle 
in the afternoon where atmospheric mixing is not as deep when 
compared to areas west. The next front will back door into the area 
on Wednesday with fairly significant differences in models on the 
timing of this front. However, we have sided with the faster 
solutions depicted in the NAM and ECMWF. As a result, this will 
likely result in a sharp temperature gradient from northeast to 
southwest. On Thursday, westerly winds on the caprock and easterly 
winds off the caprock will bring another day of sharp temperature 
contrasts.

Strong winds will emerge on Friday as a short wave trough moves 
across the Plains. This will be followed by the strongest front of 
the week on Friday night. We will remain in easterly low level flow 
through the weekend keeping temperatures well below seasonal 
averages balancing out the expected warmer than average temperatures 
this week.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

99/99/26