244 FXUS64 KMAF 050425 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 1025 PM CST Mon Feb 4 2019 .DISCUSSION... See aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... Satellite shows clouds are increasing from the west and will persist through the forecast, lowering to 12-15KFT Tue PM. Satellite also shows low clouds/fog edging into the Lower Trans Pecos and may approach/near MAF after 09Z/Tue. We will leave out of forecast for now. Otherwise SW winds will pick up around 18Z, but the presence of clouds could delay the wind. Gust of 20-30kts are possible at most sites. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 550 PM CST Mon Feb 4 2019/ DISCUSSION... The only concern for this forecast period is gusty winds tomorrow at all terminals except at PEQ. Currently, VFR conditions are present and will continue across the area. West southwest winds are dropping off and will remain low tonight. Expect winds to pick up around 11 AM MST/12 PM CST or so and later for the southern terminals tomorrow. PEQ could see gusty winds, but similar to today, expect it will be a brief period of time. AVIATION... PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 133 PM CST Mon Feb 4 2019/ DISCUSSION... Next upper low will work down the West Coast today then move into the Great Basin Tuesday before swinging into AZ and NM Wednesday. This trough swings across the Panhandle Thursday then lifts NE. Weak ridging builds in behind it before the next upper trough comes ashore Saturday. Have had abundant mid and high clouds flowing up from the SW but has not slowed temperatures from quickly climbing today... airmass a little dryer with dewpts mainly in the 30s and 40s. Temps stay unseasonably warm with highs in the 70s Tuesday and Wednesday. A Pacific front blows through Wednesday with a west wind in its wake and a cold front backdoors into the area late Thursday. Friday and Saturday will be colder but readings will be back to normal by Sunday. Mid week rain chances not looking very favorable... will have to contend with a Pacific front trying to blow moisture out of the area. Models have significantly backed off pops and qpf... for now will leave slight chance pops in Wednesday night for the Eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos but its looking as most rain will be east of the area. Could see another high wind event across the Guadalupe Mountains on Wednesday... but since only marginal will not issue a watch at this time and will make sure later models continue to point toward this. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 47 75 50 74 / 0 0 10 10 Carlsbad 47 70 49 69 / 0 0 0 10 Dryden 50 81 52 80 / 0 0 10 0 Fort Stockton 52 79 53 76 / 0 0 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 47 62 43 59 / 0 0 10 10 Hobbs 46 69 45 67 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 37 68 39 68 / 0 0 10 20 Midland Intl Airport 48 75 50 73 / 0 0 10 10 Odessa 47 75 49 73 / 0 0 10 10 Wink 47 77 49 74 / 0 0 0 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && $$