737 FNUS52 KILM 190850 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 .DISCUSSION... Low pressure will affect the area later this weekend, providing milder air today followed by showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight into early Sunday. Dry Canadian high pressure then builds in behind a cold front through early next week and provides some of the coldest temperatures so far this winter season. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight...None. NCZ105>110-200100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 60 Precip type Showers Tstms Showers LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 64 57 62 Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 4 S 9 G22 SW 12 G26 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 6 S 13 G26 NW 13 G20 Precip amount 0.02 0.34 0.22 Precip duration 2 6 2 Inversion 55/1100 1700 59/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 77 94 51 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1760 4310 Transport wnd (mph) SE 12 NW 21 Ventilation rate 21120 90510 ADI early 11 poor 12 poor 52 Gen good ADI late 17 Gen poor 13 Gen poor 59 Gen good Max LVORI early 8 5 4 Max LVORI late 4 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 25 percent. North winds 15 to 20 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Warmer. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-200100- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 50 Precip type Showers Tstms Showers LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 64 56 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 4 S 9 G20 W 11 G20 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 7 S 12 G24 NW 13 G21 Precip amount 0.01 0.40 0.17 Precip duration 1 6 1 Inversion 54/1100 1700 58/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 75 91 48 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2440 4050 Transport wnd (mph) SE 15 NW 22 Ventilation rate 36600 89100 ADI early 13 Gen poor 12 poor 44 Gen good ADI late 30 Fair 14 Gen poor 63 Good Max LVORI early 8 5 5 Max LVORI late 4 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 23 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 31 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-200100- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy MCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 30 Precip type Showers Tstms Showers LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 64 55 59 Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 5 S 11 G21 W 12 G22 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SE 8 S 13 G23 NW 15 G23 Precip amount 0.02 0.45 0.11 Precip duration 1 6 1 Inversion 53/1200 1700 56/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 74 91 45 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 2 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2020 4030 Transport wnd (mph) SE 13 NW 23 Ventilation rate 26260 92690 ADI early 9 poor 14 Gen poor 42 Gen good ADI late 23 Fair 16 Gen poor 68 Good Max LVORI early 7 4 5 Max LVORI late 4 4 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 23 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Not as cool. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-200100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 50 Precip type Showers Tstms Showers LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 68 56 60 Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 5 S 10 G24 W 12 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 7 S 14 G28 NW 14 G21 Precip amount 0.01 0.36 0.14 Precip duration 1 6 1 Inversion 56/1000 1700 57/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 63 91 45 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3840 4680 Transport wnd (mph) S 17 NW 23 Ventilation rate 65280 107640 ADI early 21 Fair 15 Gen poor 57 Gen good ADI late 41 Gen good 17 Gen poor 65 Good Max LVORI early 7 4 5 Max LVORI late 3 4 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 64 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 27 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-200100- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 50 Precip type Showers Tstms Showers LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 68 54 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 5 S 11 G22 W 12 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 8 S 13 G24 NW 14 G22 Precip amount 0.01 0.42 0.10 Precip duration 1 7 1 Inversion 56/1100 1700 55/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 58 90 45 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 4360 4830 Transport wnd (mph) S 20 NW 22 Ventilation rate 87200 106260 ADI early 17 Gen poor 14 Gen poor 59 Gen good ADI late 51 Gen good 16 Gen poor 69 Good Max LVORI early 9 4 5 Max LVORI late 3 4 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 25 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-200100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 350 AM EST Sat Jan 19 2019 Today Tonight Sun Cloud amount MCldy MCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 30 100 0 Precip type Showers Tstms None LAL 1 2 1 Min/Max Temp 66 52 58 Wnd20ft/early(mph) E 4 S 11 G22 W 11 G22 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 8 SW 13 G25 NW 15 G23 Precip amount 0.02 0.46 0.00 Precip duration 1 7 Inversion 56/1200 1700 54/0600 Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 70 90 43 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2510 4540 Transport wnd (mph) S 15 NW 23 Ventilation rate 37650 104420 ADI early 11 poor 14 Gen poor 55 Gen good ADI late 27 Fair 16 Gen poor 74 Good Max LVORI early 9 4 5 Max LVORI late 4 4 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 25 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 32 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers, warmer. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 99