658 
FXUS63 KICT 091125
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
525 AM CST Wed Jan 9 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 226 AM CST Wed Jan 9 2019

A mid/upper ridge across the Rockies is progged to translate 
eastward today and Thursday bringing quiet weather conditions 
and moderating temperatures through Thursday. Light winds are 
anticipated today as high pressure at the surface translates 
eastward across the area. This will allow the strongest 
radiational cooling to occur across eastern Kansas tonight while 
breezy southerly winds return to much of central and western 
Kansas.

Chances for precipitation will return for Friday through Saturday
as a shortwave trough emerges from the Rockies. Confidence in more
widespread wetting rain is beginning to increase although
precipitation type remains in question. Maintained a rain/snow
mention across much of the area late Fri night into early Sat as
the near surface temperatures remain above freezing but near or
under 3 C supporting a rain/snow mix at times. Recent GEFS/GEPS
trends support a northward shift of the system and slightly 
higher surface temperatures but confidence in precipitation type remains
fairly low at this time.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 226 AM CST Wed Jan 9 2019

There remains some timing differences between the various models
but precipitation should begin to diminish from west to east on
Sat night. Temperatures are expected to moderate with a return to
dry weather as we move through the beginning of next week as a
mid/upper ridge returns to the central CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 518 AM CST Wed Jan 9 2019

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period. Winds will
be light and variable. During the night tonight, the low level
winds will begin to pick up. These winds will decouple from the
surface quickly setting up a wind shear situation over the RSL and
GBD areas.  

Metzger

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    49  29  49  36 /   0   0   0  20 
Hutchinson      48  28  50  34 /   0   0   0  10 
Newton          47  27  48  34 /   0   0   0  10 
ElDorado        48  26  48  35 /   0   0   0  20 
Winfield-KWLD   50  27  49  36 /   0   0   0  40 
Russell         48  28  50  32 /   0   0   0   0 
Great Bend      49  28  51  32 /   0   0   0  10 
Salina          47  27  50  34 /   0   0   0  10 
McPherson       47  28  49  34 /   0   0   0  10 
Coffeyville     49  22  49  36 /   0   0   0  40 
Chanute         47  23  47  35 /   0   0   0  30 
Iola            46  23  47  35 /   0   0   0  20 
Parsons-KPPF    48  21  48  35 /   0   0   0  30 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...ELM