759 FNUS52 KILM 022014 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 .DISCUSSION... A front will waver back and forth across the area this week, maintaining good chances for showers along with high relative humidity. Low pressure moving through the Appalachians will bring more substantial rain for Friday. Drier weather is expected for the weekend as the low moves out to sea. Fog potential for tonight...high. NCZ105>110-031215- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount Cloudy MCldy MCldy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 30 40 50 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 51 65 49 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 W 6 NE 3 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 3 N 4 NE 3 E 4 Precip amount 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.22 Precip duration 1 2 2 11 Inversion 1800 60/1100 1700 Continued Dispersion Poor Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 69 99 79 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1520 1230 Transport wnd (mph) NW 10 E 8 Ventilation rate 15200 9840 ADI early 5 Very poor 12 poor 4 Very poor 8 poor ADI late 4 Very poor 16 Gen poor 3 Very poor 8 poor Max LVORI early 7 8 8 9 Max LVORI late 10 4 9 6 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-031215- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 40 40 50 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 51 64 50 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 3 W 5 LGT/VAR E 3 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 3 NE 4 LGT/VAR E 4 Precip amount 0.10 0.07 0.10 0.28 Precip duration 2 2 2 11 Inversion 2300 59/1100 1800 50/0600 Dispersion Poor Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 72 98 81 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 2 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1570 1240 Transport wnd (mph) NW 9 E 10 Ventilation rate 14130 12400 ADI early 4 Very poor 11 poor 2 Very poor 18 Gen poor ADI late 4 Very poor 13 Gen poor 2 Very poor 8 poor Max LVORI early 7 9 8 7 Max LVORI late 9 4 10 5 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-031215- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 50 60 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 50 62 50 61 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 N 3 LGT/VAR E 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 NE 5 E 3 E 6 Precip amount 0.19 0.08 0.09 0.37 Precip duration 2 2 5 12 Inversion 0 100 56/900 1900 51/0600 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 72 96 84 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1550 1260 Transport wnd (mph) N 6 SE 10 Ventilation rate 9300 12600 ADI early 5 Very poor 9 poor 3 Very poor 19 Gen poor ADI late 4 Very poor 10 poor 4 Very poor 13 Gen poor Max LVORI early 6 9 7 5 Max LVORI late 10 4 8 6 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-031215- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount MCldy MCldy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 20 40 60 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 53 67 52 66 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 W 7 NE 3 E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 5 NW 5 E 3 SE 5 Precip amount 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.27 Precip duration 1 2 5 12 Inversion 1500 60/1000 1700 None Dispersion Fair Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 72 100 80 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2300 1200 Transport wnd (mph) W 14 SE 9 Ventilation rate 32200 10800 ADI early 5 Very poor 36 Fair 4 Very poor 9 poor ADI late 5 Very poor 36 Fair 4 Very poor 9 poor Max LVORI early 7 8 8 8 Max LVORI late 9 4 10 5 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-031215- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 30 40 60 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 54 66 53 66 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 W 7 LGT/VAR E 4 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 5 N 5 LGT/VAR SE 6 Precip amount 0.04 0.06 0.12 0.38 Precip duration 1 2 5 12 Inversion 1600 60/1000 2000 None Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 73 99 80 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 2250 1230 Transport wnd (mph) W 12 SE 8 Ventilation rate 27000 9840 ADI early 7 poor 19 Gen poor 3 Very poor 10 poor ADI late 7 poor 24 Fair 3 Very poor 10 poor Max LVORI early 7 8 8 9 Max LVORI late 9 4 9 5 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-031215- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 314 PM EST Wed Jan 2 2019 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud amount Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Cloudy Precip chc (%) 50 50 70 90 Precip type Showers Showers Showers Showers LAL 1 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 51 62 51 63 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SE 4 NW 4 LGT/VAR E 5 Wnd20ft/late(mph) S 4 NE 5 E 3 E 6 Precip amount 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.45 Precip duration 2 2 5 12 Inversion 0 100 57/1000 1800 52/0600 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Max/Min RH (%) 100 73 100 81 DSI 1 1 Haines Index 3 3 2 2 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 1610 1260 Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 10 Ventilation rate 8050 12600 ADI early 6 Very poor 10 poor 3 Very poor 19 Gen poor ADI late 4 Very poor 10 poor 3 Very poor 16 Gen poor Max LVORI early 7 9 8 7 Max LVORI late 9 4 10 5 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$