469 
FXUS62 KJAX 060052
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
752 PM EST Mon Nov 5 2018

.UPDATE...Radar continues to show a few showers and isolated 
thunder across se GA...and virga/sprinkles with higher clouds 
across ne FL. Recently, radar has shown an increasing area of 
showers over the NE Gulf of Mexico and the westernmost counties 
of the northern FL peninsula. The latest HRRR suggests, although 
late by a few hours, these showers will spread E and NE across 
NE FL thru 06z...then offshore after 06z. Have updated the hourly
POP/Weather grids to reflect this evolution...with decreasing 
showers further north. Current mild low temperature forecast 
Tonight supported by latest consensus guidance.

&&

.AVIATION...Maintained potential for showers and MFVR CIGs thru
04Z in latest TAFs...though that may need to be extended beyond
04Z for easternmost TAF sites. May see patchy light fog across
the TAF sites, but potential for more significant fog appears
less than last night per latest guidance.

&&

.MARINE...No significant changes planned in next CWF issuance.
Moderate southerly flow expected through Tuesday with 2-4 ft
nearshore seas and 4-5 ft offshore seas.

Rip Currents: A southeasterly ocean swell will reach area waters
on Tuesday, keeping a moderate risk in place through at least
midweek. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  68  83  67  81 /  20  50  30  50 
SSI  70  81  69  80 /  30  20  30  30 
JAX  70  85  69  84 /  30  20  20  30 
SGJ  71  83  71  83 /  30  10  10  30 
GNV  69  85  67  86 /  30  20  10  30 
OCF  69  86  67  86 /  20  10  10  20 

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Wolf/Bricker