444 FXUS62 KMHX 231856 AFDMHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 256 PM EDT Thu Aug 23 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Strong high pressure over the Ohio Valley will remain in place through much of the weekend. By early next week the high will extend into the region from the western Atlantic, while a trof of low pressure sets up over the middle of the state. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 245 PM Thursday...Area of strong high pressure over the Ohio Valley is providing a somewhat fall-like atmosphere across eastern North Carolina at mid-afternoon. Dewpoints range from the mid 50s north to mid 60s southern counties this afternoon. This will lead to a very pleasant night for this time of year with lows closely matching the current dewpoints with upper 50s inland to upper 60s Outer Banks. N/NE winds should diminish inland but may remain a bit breezy along the immediate coast as a bit of a CAA surge works down the coast later this evening into the early overnight hours. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/... As of 245 PM Thursday...Another pleasant day in store for Friday as dewpoints remain in the 60s area-wide and mostly sunny skies push high temperatures into the low/mid 80s. Precipitable water will start to edge back to over an inch late in the day and this will lead to a few clouds along the coast. However, any precipitation should remain well offshore. Remainder of the CWA should be generally sunny for Friday. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 340 am Thu...Drier/cooler airmass will be in place over the region Friday night with below normal precip chances, then a typical summer weather pattern gradually returns with high pressure extending over the region from the Western Atlantic and Piedmont trough develops inland through mid-week. Precip chances continue to remain limited through next week. Friday night...Sfc high pressure will gradually slide of the NE coast late Friday night. Expect pleasant weather with mostly sunny skies and no precip in the forecast. Temps will be slightly cooler than normal, with highs in the low/mid 80s and overnight lows in the 60s inland to low 70s along the coast. Saturday through mid next week...The center of the sfc high pressure will be off the NE coast as winds become ENE/E on Saturday. PWATs gradually increase and as a result, possible isolated showers or storms develop along the seabreeze. Then, typical summertime weather pattern redevelops Sunday and early next week with sfc high extending across the area from the Western Atlantic and Piedmont trough inland, but little to no forcing aloft. Precip chances continue to remain low, but an isolated shower or storm can not be ruled out each afternoon through mid-week. The main affect will be the return of summer heat and humidity values. Expect temperatures to gradually increase into the mid/upper 80s inland and low 80s coast Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures will reach into the low 90s inland and low/mid 80s Mon-Thur. && .AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Short Term /through 18Z Friday/... As of 1245 PM Thursday...VFR conditions should prevail through the TAF cycle with clear skies and low humidity. Breezy N/NE winds this afternoon should subside to around 5 knots or less tonight, but with a sufficient temperature/dewpoint spread, no fog is expected tonight. Long Term /Fri Night through Tue/ As of 340 am Thu...VFR conditions will dominate the TAF period. High pressure will influence the the weather over the region with little precip expected. && .MARINE... Short Term /through tonight/ As of 245 PM Thursday...Breezy N/NE winds around 15 knots will continue this evening. There will be a bit of a CAA surge through late evening into the early overnight hours, with a few gusts to 20 knots possible, but conditions should stay below SCA criteria. Seas will continue at 3-5 feet overnight. Winds trend down to generally 10-15 knots on Friday with seas 3-5 feet central waters and 2-4 feet elsewhere for Friday. Long Term /Fri Night through Tue/ As of 340 am Thu...NE/E winds 10-15 kt Friday night and Saturday with seas 2-4 ft Friday night, subsiding to 2-3 ft Saturday. Winds will become light and variable Sunday 10 knots or less, then becoming southerly 5-10 knots Monday with seas around 2 ft Sunday and Monday. && .MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...CTC NEAR TERM...CTC SHORT TERM...CTC LONG TERM...BM AVIATION...CTC/BM MARINE...CTC/BM