972 FNUS74 KMOB 051224 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Lily Burn - BRSP Zone 3...Florida Dept. of Environmental Protection. National Weather Service Mobile AL 624 AM CST Mon Mar 5 2018 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on March 05. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Southeasterly winds will become southerly by this afternoon. A cold front will cross the burn site on Tuesday morning. Expect increasing chance of showers and storms tonight and early Tuesday before the front clears the area. Northerly winds and improving dispersions are expected Tuesday afternoon. Fog potential and other remarks...Fog not expected .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......1400-3300 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5400 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height (m)...427-1006 meters AGL increasing to 1189-1646 meters AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....18 increasing to 54. LVORI...............2. Stability class.....2. TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........60 53 47 41 34 31 33 36 40 43 46 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............55 60 64 68 71 73 75 75 74 72 70 RH..............71 64 58 51 46 42 40 41 43 47 53 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 7 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.3 3.3 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S S S SW SW S S Transp wind spd.7 9 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 Trans wind dir..SE SE S S S S S SW SW S S Trans spd (m/s).3 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..18 28 38 46 49 54 54 53 57 58 57 LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers after midnight. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................1-8 strikes. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......700-2200 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...213-671 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....10. LVORI...............4. Stability class.....5. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........48 51 56 62 68 73 76 78 82 87 91 95 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Temp............67 66 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 RH..............60 66 71 76 77 78 78 82 86 89 90 90 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 20 FT wind gust. 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 9 8 7 7 7 7 8 10 12 12 12 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 Dispersion idx..10 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1200, then No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning. Mixing height.......900-2400 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...274-732 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 16 mph. Transport winds m/s.Northwest 4 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....21 increasing to 36. LVORI...............3. Stability class.....3. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........97 97 96 96 95 94 94 87 74 60 46 33 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 50 50 50 50 50 50 LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............64 66 67 68 69 69 70 70 70 69 67 64 RH..............89 85 81 78 74 72 69 65 61 58 58 60 20 FT wind dir..S SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust. 8 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 7 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.12 13 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 13 10 Trans wind dir..SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW Trans spd (m/s).5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 Dispersion idx..17 20 25 29 30 29 29 30 33 37 39 33 LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...5 Requested by...Daryl Hatfield Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1803114.0/MOB .EMAIL daryl.hatfield@dep.state.fl.us