116 
FXUS64 KMEG 030951
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
351 AM CST Sat Mar 3 2018

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will bring a period of dry and mild weather to the
Mid South this weekend. High temperatures will reach into the 60s,
with lows in the 30s tonight and 40s Sunday night. 

An upper level low pressure system now over the Pacific Northwest
will move east across the Middle and Upper Mississippi River
Valleys by early next week. Deep moisture will advect back into
the forecast area by Sunday night with showers and isolated
thunderstorms expected from Sunday night through Monday night
ahead of a pacific cold front and the associated upper troughing.
Instability appears limited, therefore not expecting much in the
way of severe weather. Overall rainfall totals do not look
excessive at this time either, with most locations remaining less
than one inch. Therefore, flash flooding is not anticipated but
river flooding will continue to be a problem through the upcoming
weekend and next week with rivers cresting above flood stage in
most areas. 

Dry weather will return by next Tuesday behind the departing cold
front. A reinforcing dry cold front is expected to move through
the Mid South next Tuesday night. Colder temperatures are
anticipated for the middle of next week behind the front.
Temperatures should average around 10 degrees below seasonal
averages through the middle portions of next week. A gradual warm
up is expected by the end of next week.

JLH

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail through the period. NE-E winds 
generally 3-8 kts.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$