360 
FXUS64 KMEG 030009
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
609 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for aviation discussion

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 306 PM CST Fri Mar 2 2018/ 

DISCUSSION...

Skies are sunny across the forecast area this afternoon with
temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to lower 60s. High pressure
was centered over northern Illinois this afternoon which is
responsible for the clear skies and near normal temperatures.

The surface high will move slowly east tonight keeping things dry.
Temperatures will cool off some tonight with some locations over
eastern sections of the forecast area having lows at or slightly
below freezing. The surface high will remain in control of the
weather on Saturday with no rain expected. Temperatures will
remain near normal levels on Saturday with highs in the upper 50s
to mid 60s. Saturday night will remain dry and somewhat chilly as
a few locations in west Tennessee could see low temperatures
Sunday morning close to freezing. Sunday will remain dry and
somewhat warmer with highs in the 60s.

By Sunday night, a large storm system will be moving out of the
Rockies and into the central Plains. Ahead of this system, rain
will begin to move into the forecast area Sunday night. By Monday
morning, the cold front associated with the storm system will be
moving through Texas and Oklahoma and will move east during the
day. This will result in more rain for the area on Monday. By
Monday night, the cold front will be moving through the region
producing more rain. 

The cold front will be east of the region on Tuesday with dry
conditions returning. High pressure will build into the region by
Tuesday night bringing a period of dry weather with below normal
temperatures for Tuesday night through Thursday. South winds
return to the area by next Friday which will help bring
temperatures closer to normal levels.

ARS 

HYDROLOGY...

River flooding will continue to be a major concern with a few
river points reaching or remaining at moderate to major flood 
stages over the next several days. River flood warnings remain in 
effect for several of our main stem rivers and tributaries. Please
continue to follow the advice of local emergency managers in 
areas prone to river flooding and move to higher ground if 
flooding is imminent or occurring.

JLH

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAFs

Atmosphere is dry as a bone. 12z KLZK precip water was only 0.22 
inches. VFR conditions will prevail through the period. NE-E winds
generally 3-8 kts.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$