812 FNUS72 KMHX 221242 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for Goose Creek Tract 6...NCWRC National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 742 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will continue to extend over the area from the Western Atlantic through this evening and produce a very warm southerly flow across the region. A backdoor cold front will sag south into northern portions of Eastern North Carolina late tonight and early Friday then lift back north Friday afternoon. A cold front will move through the area Sunday night into early Monday. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of dense fog early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 80. Min humidity........58 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming south 5 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......Max 4200 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph. Vent Rate...........Max 42000 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 9. ADI.................Max 34. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.41 to 30.50 inHg. TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%)............57 57 57 54 47 43 37 26 20 20 Weather cov........ARS PTY Weather type.......FOG FOG Tstm cov........... Temp...............66 68 70 72 74 76 79 78 74 72 RH.................93 87 81 76 69 61 58 60 62 66 20 FT wind dir.....SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT wind spd.....5 5 5 6 7 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.... 10 15 15 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)......0.9 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 2.6 Transp wind dir....S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S Transp wind spd....6 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 7 LVORI..............6 4 3 3 3 1 1 2 2 3 ADI................6 13 19 25 30 34 32 28 25 20 Haines index.......3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1000..5 10 16 23 30 36 34 30 26 18 Stability class....E E E E B B B B B B .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. Areas of fog late. Min temperature.....Around 57. Max humidity........93 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph in the evening, becoming light. Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 2 to 7 mph, becoming light southeast late. Vent Rate...........Min 0 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Min 0. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.41 to 30.46 inHg. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%)............21 21 23 28 30 33 38 41 45 53 57 59 Weather cov........ ARS ARS ARS Weather type....... FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........... Temp...............70 68 66 65 63 62 62 61 61 60 60 59 RH.................71 76 81 84 87 90 90 93 93 93 93 93 20 FT wind dir.....S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W 20 FT wind spd.....7 7 7 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust....10 10 10 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)......1.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Transp wind dir....S S S S S SW SW SW S SE E SE Transp wind spd....7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 2 1 0 1 LVORI..............3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 ADI................5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 0 0 1 Haines index.......4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1000..10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 Stability class....B B B B B B F F F F F F .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Areas of fog early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........48 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming south 5 mph early in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Max 4400 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 10 mph, increasing to 12 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 56349 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 6. ADI.................Max 17. Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........30.38 to 30.52 inHg. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%)............63 64 61 57 54 49 Weather cov........AREAS Weather type.......FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........... Temp...............58 61 69 74 77 77 RH.................96 84 61 53 48 50 20 ft wind.........NW 2 NW 2 W 2 SW 3 S 4 S 5 20 ft wind gust.... 5 5 Mix hgt (ft).......300 1200 3100 3900 4300 4400 Transport wind.....SW 1 W 3 SW 7 SW 10 SW 13 S 13 LVORI..............6 4 2 2 2 2 ADI................7 13 13 3 1 9 Haines index.......4 4 4 4 4 4 VRate mph-ft/1000..0 4 22 40 54 56 Stability class....F F F B B B $$ Forecaster...Elardo Requested by...Casey Phillips Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1802347.0/MHX .EMAIL casey.phillips@ncwildlife.org