480 FNUS52 KILM 151051 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 .DISCUSSION... High pressure off the coast will result in well above normal temperatures through Friday. A cold front will move through the area Friday night, followed by cool high pressure for the weekend. Warm southerly winds will develop early next week and result in a significant warmup. A cold front will approach the area by Wednesday. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable Fog potential for tonight...Low inland, moderate at the coast. SCZ054>056-058-059-160300- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 78 58 79 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 5 SW 8 SW 10 G21 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 10 SW 7 SW 12 G22 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 64/1000 None None Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 56 100 54 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 3 4 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3770 4650 Transport wnd (mph) SW 18 W 22 Ventilation rate 67860 102300 ADI early 36 Fair 9 poor 68 Good ADI late 50 Gen good 7 poor 65 Good Max LVORI early 9 5 8 Max LVORI late 2 7 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-160300- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 30 Precip type None None Rain LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 79 62 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 10 SW 12 G22 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 12 SW 11 W 13 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip duration 0 Inversion 62/1000 None None Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 52 92 51 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 2 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3790 5360 Transport wnd (mph) W 28 W 24 Ventilation rate 106120 128640 ADI early 38 Fair 43 Gen good 94 Good ADI late 75 Good 35 Fair 89 Good Max LVORI early 8 3 4 Max LVORI late 1 4 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 79 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ105>110-160300- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover- Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount MCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 76 59 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 5 SW 9 SW 10 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 9 SW 8 SW 11 G20 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 64/1000 None None Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 55 99 51 DSI 1 2 Haines Index 3 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3290 5150 Transport wnd (mph) SW 16 W 22 Ventilation rate 52640 113300 ADI early 18 Gen poor 10 poor 74 Good ADI late 56 Gen good 8 poor 71 Good Max LVORI early 8 5 7 Max LVORI late 3 6 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 82 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-160300- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 30 Precip type None None Rain LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 78 60 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 10 SW 12 G22 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 11 SW 10 SW 12 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.02 Precip duration 0 Inversion 63/1000 None None Dispersion Excellent Max/Min RH (%) 52 97 51 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 2 3 3 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3780 5550 Transport wnd (mph) SW 25 W 25 Ventilation rate 94500 138750 ADI early 40 Fair 36 Fair 90 Good ADI late 72 Good 25 Fair 86 Good Max LVORI early 7 4 4 Max LVORI late 1 5 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 83 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-160300- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 551 AM EST Thu Feb 15 2018 Today Tonight Fri Cloud amount PCldy PCldy PCldy Precip chc (%) 0 0 0 Precip type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Min/Max Temp 79 59 80 Wnd20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 8 SW 11 G22 Wnd20ft/late(mph) SW 11 SW 8 SW 13 G23 Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip duration Inversion 64/1000 None None Dispersion Good Max/Min RH (%) 52 98 51 DSI 2 2 Haines Index 2 3 4 Mixing hgt (ft-AGL) 3820 5230 Transport wnd (mph) W 24 W 23 Ventilation rate 91680 120290 ADI early 39 Fair 35 Fair 81 Good ADI late 69 Good 22 Fair 79 Good Max LVORI early 9 4 5 Max LVORI late 1 5 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 74 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ 8