475 
FNUS76 KMFR 100619
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Bly Mtn Machine Piles...BLM
National Weather Service Medford OR
1019 PM PST Tue Jan 9 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PST on January 10. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The front that moved through the burn area on Tuesday will move
back as a warm front today and tonight. Light snow is possible in
the morning before precipitation turns to rain by early afternoon.
Precipitation is expected to end this evening but another front
will bring rain and gusty winds to the burn area on Thursday. A 
dry but still moist air mass will remain over the area on Thursday.
The atmosphere will trend warmer and drier Friday through the 
weekend as high pressure moves into the area, but this will also 
lead to a potentially low mixing due to a steeper inversion. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Occasional light snow until early in the 
                    afternoon then turning to rain. Snow
                    accumulation up to half an inch. 
Max temperature.....40. 
Min humidity........71 percent. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....South winds 1 to 3 mph. 
WIND (20 FT)........South winds 3 to 5 mph in the morning then
                    Southwest to West 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL in the morning then rising to
                    3000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph in the morning then
                    West 12 mph in the afternoon. 
CWR.................25 percent. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. 
Min temperature.....Around 30. 
Max humidity........100 percent. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest winds 1 to 2 mph. 
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 4 to 6 mph. 
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL in the evening then lowering to
                    1300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph. 
CWR.................0 percent. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. 
Max temperature.....44. 
Min humidity........63 percent. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. 
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 12 to 15 mph. 
                    Gust to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southwest around 19 mph. 
CWR.................15 percent. 

$$
Forecaster...BUNNAG
Requested by...Dave Cantrell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800211.1/MFR