195 FNUS74 KMOB 041724 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Pavilion Burn...Florida Forest Service National Weather Service Mobile AL 1124 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2017 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CST on December 04. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...High pressure over the southeast US maintains a generally southerly flow today through Tuesday as a strong cold front approaches the area from the northwest. Slight chance for some showers this evening and tonight before rain chances increase markedly on Tuesday along and ahead of the front. A few storms could be mixed in as well. Winds shift to northerly Tuesday night in the wake of the front. Fair dispersions today become generally good on Tuesday. Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Patchy fog redevelops tonight and may become dense in spots. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of showers. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 74. Min humidity........62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph. Mixing height.......2100-2200 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...640-671 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....21. LVORI...............3. Stability class.....3. TIME (CST) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........72 72 72 72 72 72 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............73 74 74 73 71 68 RH..............64 62 64 66 71 78 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.9 9 10 10 10 12 Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 5 Dispersion idx..19 20 21 22 22 22 LVORI...........3 2 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of showers through the night. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......500-1100 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-335 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....8. LVORI...............7. Stability class.....4. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........72 73 74 75 75 77 77 78 79 79 80 81 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF RNF Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............66 64 63 63 63 63 63 63 62 62 61 61 RH..............87 93 97 93 93 93 93 93 97 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE Transp wind spd.12 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 Trans wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE Trans spd (m/s).5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 Dispersion idx..9 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 LVORI...........5 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 $$ Forecaster...49 Requested by...Brent Bowman Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1719591.0/MOB .EMAIL brent.bowman@freshfromflorida.com