117 
FXUS63 KICT 310449
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1149 PM CDT Mon Oct 30 2017

...Updated for Aviation Discussion Below...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Oct 30 2017

Current water vapor satellite imagery shows a upper level wave 
over Alberta Canada which will move southward into the central 
plains on Tuesday. Decent lift in the mid-levels from warm air 
advection will cause saturation to work its downward over mainly 
central Kansas from Tuesday morning, and spread into eastern 
Kansas for the afternoon/evening hours. Model sounding data 
suggests mainly light cold rain across southern Kansas, however a 
wet snow mixture with some very light slushy snow accumulations is
possible on grassy surfaces for central Kansas. Would expect the 
activity to quickly taper off from west to east by Tuesday evening
due to the rapid system movement.

Otherwise dry and cooler than normal temperatures will prevail 
for Wednesday. Warmer temperatures will return on Thursday ahead 
of another frontal boundary sinking southward across the central 
plains. 

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 244 PM CDT Mon Oct 30 2017

A second weather system will race across the region early on 
Friday with possible light rain for far southeast Kansas. 
Meanwhile upper level flow will gradually switch to the southwest 
and bring warmer air into the region, with warmer than normal 
temperatures expected for the weekend. Long range models show 
another possible cold front pushing into Kansas by Monday next 
week. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1147 PM CDT Mon Oct 30 2017

A fast-moving storm system approaching from the west is expected 
to spread areas of light precipitation across the region Tuesday. 
Thermal profiles support precipitation falling as light snow or 
flurries across portions of central Kansas from about mid/late
morning into the afternoon. Could conceivably see some brief 
periods of MVFR or even IFR conditions at RSL, SLN and GBD with 
light snow accumulations possible. South winds will gradually 
increase generally west of I-135 by afternoon, as high pressure 
exits to the east.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    29  43  35  62 /   0  30   0   0 
Hutchinson      26  40  33  62 /  10  40   0   0 
Newton          28  41  33  59 /   0  30   0   0 
ElDorado        28  43  34  60 /   0  30  10   0 
Winfield-KWLD   30  46  37  63 /   0  20  10   0 
Russell         22  36  31  65 /  10  50   0   0 
Great Bend      23  38  31  65 /  10  50   0   0 
Salina          24  39  34  61 /   0  50   0   0 
McPherson       25  39  33  61 /   0  40   0   0 
Coffeyville     31  46  36  61 /   0  20  20  10 
Chanute         28  44  35  59 /   0  20  10  10 
Iola            27  43  34  58 /   0  20  10  10 
Parsons-KPPF    29  45  36  61 /   0  20  10  10 

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. 

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...ADK