859 
FNUS75 KPUB 241346
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Baca Wildife Refuge RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
746 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MDT on October 25. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds the rest of night will be light and from the northeast at the surface with
the light transport winds, shifting throughout the evening. During the overnight hours,
wind will be light and variable in the morning, but around 1100 MDT the winds will shift
west and the transport winds aloft will shift to the northwest at strengthen to around 15
mph. Minimum RH values of 15-20 percent will occur around 1400-1500 MDT. During the evening 
hours, surface winds begin to calm down to around 5 mph at 1800 MDT and the transport winds 
remain from the north northwest at 15 mph.

Thursday will be cooler (around 60F) across the region as a cold front passes over the region with
isolated rain or snow showers from midday Thursday to Friday morning. Friday will be even
cooler (around 50F). RH values on Thursday be around 15-20 percent and RH values Friday will be around
20-25 percent.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....26-31F. 
Max humidity........66-71 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........North - Northeast 5 mph. 
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5-8 mph until 1800, then north
                    around 10-15 mph until 2300, then west at 5-8 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....62-67F. 
Min humidity........15-20 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds around 4-6 mph until 1100, then west around
                    5-10 mph until 1800, then back to variable winds around 4-6 mph. 
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....West around 14 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Good after 1100. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....25-30F. 
Max humidity........76-81 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light wind. 
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl until 2000, then 1500 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....Northwest at 15-20 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900. poor after 0300. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(30 percent). Slight chance of rain 
                    after 1200. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....57-62F. 
Min humidity........14-19 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds around 5-8 mph until 1500, then 
                    northwest around 8 mph. 
Mixing height.......9000 ft agl. 
Transport winds.....South around 3 mph until 1100, then northwest 
                    around 19 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1300, then good until 1400, then 
                    very good until 1500, then excellent. 
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

$$
Forecaster...SKELLY
Requested by...Joshua Jordan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717788.0/PUB