638 FNUS74 KLZK 242012 FWSLZK Spot Forecast for Mt. Ida 17...Womble-Caddo National Weather Service Little Rock AR 212 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CST on February 24. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service Immediately. .DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE TODAY WITH WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONT AND WITH GUSTY BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTINUING, AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST. .TODAY... Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 65. RH..................32 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 13 to 21 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Stability class.....C. 20 Foot Winds.......Winds northwest at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise West winds 7 to 9 mph. LVORI...............1 early in the morning. Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming sunny (10-20 percent). Dispersion..........40 decreasing to 30 early in the morning, then increasing to 40 early in the afternoon increasing to 51 late in the afternoon decreasing to 42. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6400 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7512 ft MSL. TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............66 65 63 RH..............32 31 32 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 Eye lvl wnd gst.15 15 15 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW Transp wind spd.18 20 21 Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 .TONIGHT... Temperature.........Min 30. RH..................Max 66 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph. Stability class.....D. 20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. LVORI...............1. Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Dispersion..........15 early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3200 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4346 ft MSL. TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............59 52 48 45 43 41 39 37 35 34 33 32 RH..............34 44 49 55 55 55 54 59 64 66 66 63 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Eye lvl wnd gst.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.10 10 12 12 12 10 9 10 10 10 9 8 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... Temperature.........Max 49. RH..................Min 23 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph. Stability class.....C. 20 Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. LVORI...............1 early in the morning. Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Dispersion..........19 decreasing to 11 late in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth to or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 5 mph. Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5300 ft AGL. Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6372 ft MSL. TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............31 30 31 34 38 41 44 47 48 49 49 48 RH..............63 66 63 56 44 37 30 26 25 23 25 27 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust. Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Eye lvl wnd spd.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Eye lvl wnd gst. Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6 5 3 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $$ Forecaster...55 Requested by...Shannon G Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1702827.0/LZK .EMAIL aoiccdispatch@gmail.com