851 FNUS74 KAMA 160744 FWSAMA Spot Forecast FOR JA BLACK...JA RANCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX 144 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2017 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 16. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Generally clear skies are expected at the burn site today through Friday with only some high level cloudiness possible. No precipitation is expected through Friday at the burn site and 20 foot winds will be light 5 to 15 mph or less and mainly from the southwest and south. No major wind shifts are expected at the burn site through Friday. .TODAY... Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9000 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /45500 knot-ft/ increasing to fair to good (13500-54000 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 71. LAL.................1. RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 20 percent. Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition, otherwise 0-1000 ft AGL increasing to 2000-3500 ft AGL late in the morning, then increasing to 3000-4500 ft AGL late in the afternoon decreasing to 1500 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 20-foot winds.......Winds west at 10 mph at ignition, otherwise Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........5 OR moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. Time (CST) 10 AM Noon 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR Weather Cov..... Weather Type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Temp............47 61 69 71 RH..............49 31 22 21 20 Ft Wind......W 10 SW 12 SW 13 SW 13 20 Ft Wind Gust.15 15 20 20 Chc of Pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 Haines Index....5 5 5 5 VentR KtFt/1000.9 30 46 33 .TONIGHT... Smoke dispersal.....Poor to poor (0-3500 knot-ft). Temperature.........Min 37. LAL.................1. RH..................Max 73 percent. Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph. Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 OR moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. Time (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM Midngt 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR Weather Cov..... Weather Type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Temp............65 54 49 46 42 40 RH..............27 41 50 53 60 64 20 Ft Wind......S 10 S 9 S 8 S 7 SW 8 SW 9 20 Ft Wind Gust.15 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of Pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines Index....5 5 5 5 5 5 VentR KtFt/1000.4 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-42000 knot-ft) increasing to good to excellent (36000-84000 knot-ft) early in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 72. LAL.................1. RH..................Min 22 percent. Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 8 mph shifting to the south 10 to 16 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 2000-3500 ft AGL early in the afternoon, then increasing to 4500-6000 ft AGL early in the afternoon decreasing to 4000 ft AGL late in the afternoon. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Haines Index........5 OR moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. Time (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM Noon 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR Weather Cov..... Weather Type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Temp............38 38 51 63 71 72 RH..............70 73 46 31 23 22 20 Ft Wind......SW 10 S 7 S 7 S 9 S 10 S 10 20 Ft Wind Gust.15 10 10 10 15 15 Chc of Pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines Index....5 5 5 5 5 5 VentR KtFt/1000.0 0 4 20 63 60 $$ Forecaster...Schneider Requested by...ANDREW BIVINS Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 1702222.0/AMA