609 
FXUS64 KTSA 102145
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
345 PM CST Fri Feb 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and breezy conditions will maintain a heightened
fire weather concern through sunset with winds slowly weakening
thereafter. Record breaking warmth will overspread portions of
eastern Oklahoma on Saturday ahead of the next cold front. A
sample of this airmass is seen with the ongoing temps across far
NW OK. The deeper moisture will be in place across far E OK / NW
AR which will keep humidity levels higher, however locations west
of highway 75 in NE OK are likely to mix into much lower 
dewpoints and resultant humidity levels will be very low. Winds 
across this same region will remain fairly light which should help
with fire spread rates. OK Forestry has requested a Red Flag 
Warning for the hot and dry conditions. Any wildfires will have to
contend with a wind shift Sat night as the cold front sweeps 
through the region.

Noticeably cooler temps on Sunday yet high temps will likely
remain just above seasonal averages. Rain chances begin to
increase Monday and more so Monday night through Tuesday with 
rains gradually ending Tues night. The trend remains for the 
heavier precip amounts to be focused south of Interstate 40 with 
much lighter amounts across NE OK / far NW AR. Seasonably cool 
temps continue these days w/ cloud cover and precip occurring. 
Once this wave passes a high amplitude ridge builds through the 
central U.S. which will keep the weather quiet and temps gradually
moderating and rising above normal from mid to late next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   56  87  42  57 /   0   0   0   0 
FSM   55  82  57  63 /  10  10  10  10 
MLC   60  84  49  60 /   0  10  10  10 
BVO   48  87  41  55 /   0   0   0   0 
FYV   55  80  48  56 /   0  10  10  10 
BYV   56  79  47  55 /   0   0  10  10 
MKO   55  83  48  58 /   0  10  10   0 
MIO   55  82  40  54 /   0   0   0   0 
F10   57  83  45  58 /   0   0  10   0 
HHW   58  80  63  65 /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for OKZ049-053>076.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 6 PM CST Saturday for OKZ054-059-
     064-065.

AR...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

$$

LONG TERM....07