066 
FNUS73 KLSX 011235
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KARST EAST...MO DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
635 AM CST WED FEB 1 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON FEBRUARY 01. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY
AND THURSDAY...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES THAT ARE 
EXPECTED TO SLIP BACK TO SEASONAL ON THURSDAY. 


.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). 
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. 
LAL.................NO TSTMS. 
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 45. 
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 
                    NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. 
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WIND AT 3 MPH...USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. 
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6130 M/S-M) AT MAX HEATING. 

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  
SKY (%).........74     57     49     49     48     47     
WEATHER COV.....                                          
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   
TSTM COV........                                          
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0      
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1      
TEMP............41     45     44     39     35     31     
RH..............59     47     45     54     61     69     
20 FT WIND......N 7    N 8    N 8    N 6    N 7    N 7    
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10     

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...ROXIE CAMPBELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1701186.1/LSX