316 
FNUS71 KCTP 251245
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWN ROCKS WILDFIRE...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
845 AM EDT TUE OCT 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 25. 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOL...BREEZY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST TODAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR 
RAIN IS THURSDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL BE PERSIST UNTIL THIS EVENING 
BEFORE WEAKENING. THE OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MORE THAN 
SUFFICIENT TO DECOUPLE THE ATMOSPHERE WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT WINDS 
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE AT OR JUST 
BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). 
LAL.................NO TSTMS. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. 
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........ 
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 
                    MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2...OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
SKY (%).........51  51  51  52  52  52  48  42  35  
WEATHER COV.....                                    
WEATHER TYPE....                                    
TSTM COV........                                    
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
TEMP............43  46  49  50  50  51  51  51  51  
RH..............67  60  54  50  50  46  46  46  46  
20 FT WIND DIR..W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20  
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
LAL.................NO TSTMS. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33. 
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. 
WIND (20 FT)........ 
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3...OR VERY LOW. 

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   
SKY (%).........29     19     16     13     11     15     
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY 
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST  
TSTM COV........                                          
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1      
TEMP............48     44     42     40     39     37     
RH..............49     57     62     67     70     72     
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 7   NW 6   NW 5   N 5    N 5    
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10            
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      3      3      

$$
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...PHILIP BIETSCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1602124.0/CTP
.EMAIL PBIETSCH@PA.GOV