705 
FPUS72 KMLB 301938
NOWMLB

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
335 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-302200-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
335 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.NOW...THROUGH LATE DAY...WHILE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SLOWER TO DEVELOP
COMPARED WITH THE PREVIOUS DAY...MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST
SCATTERED STRONG STORMS DEVELOPING AS BOTH SEA BREEZES PUSH INLAND.
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL REMAIN PINNED CLOSER TOWARDS THE COAST
DUE TO THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. INTENSITY AND COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE
TO EXPAND THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY EVENING DUE TO
VARIOUS BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS...DEEP MOISTURE...AND FAVORABLE
INSTABILITY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SEVERE STORM OR TWO LATER
TODAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE EAST COAST WHERE LARGER SCALE BOUNDARY
COLLISIONS ARE LIKELY LATE IN THE DAY.

THREATS FROM STORMS INCLUDE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH...HAIL...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT OVER THE MARINE
AREA...OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO NEAR LARGER-SCALE BOUNDARY
INTERACTIONS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST OR NORTHEAST AT 10
TO 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL MOVE OFF OF THE EAST COAST LATER TODAY AND POSE A
THREAT FOR SMALL CRAFT BOATERS OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS. MARINERS SHOULD KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY WESTWARD
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/?n=blog

$$

TES