767 
FPUS72 KMLB 301516
NOWMLB

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1113 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-301900-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1113 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

.NOW...THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...WHILE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN SLOWER TO
DEVELOP COMPARED WITH THE PREVIOUS DAY...MESOSCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST SCATTERED STRONG STORMS DEVELOPING AS BOTH SEA BREEZES
DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND ACROSS THE PENINSULA. THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE WILL REMAIN PINNED CLOSER TOWARDS THE EAST COAST DUE TO THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. INTENSITY AND COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND
FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON DUE TO VARIOUS BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS...
DEEP MOISTURE...AND FAVORABLE INSTABILITY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A
SEVERE STORM OR TWO LATER TODAY...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE EAST COAST
WHERE LARGER-SCALE BOUNDARY COLLISIONS ARE LIKELY.

THREATS FROM STORMS INCLUDE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS OF 40
TO 50 MPH...HAIL...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT OVER THE MARINE
AREA...OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO NEAR LARGER-SCALE BOUNDARY
INTERACTIONS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST OR NORTHEAST AT 10
TO 15 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL MOVE OFF OF THE EAST COAST LATER TODAY AND POSE A
THREAT FOR SMALL CRAFT BOATERS OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR
SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. MARINERS SHOULD KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY
WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/?n=blog

$$

TES