131 
FXUS64 KLIX 202111
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
411 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

.SHORT TERM...Scattered showers have been developing today but so
far only a few lightning strikes have been noted over the CWA.
Convection should begin to dissipate this evening with most if not
all rain done before midnight. 

Much quieter weather in store the next few days but hotter temps
could be on the way as well. Ridge over the desert sw will continue
to build east tonight through the southern Plains and into the sern
CONUS over the next few days. Heights will rise and the additional
suppression along with drier air will lead to far less convection
tomorrow and more so on Wednesday. H85 temps will be around 16-17C
Tuesday and then 17-19C on Wednesday will yield highs of upper 80s
to near 90 tomorrow and then lower 90s.  

Thursday could be a little different though. There are indications
that an easterly wave could ride under the ridge and into the
northern Gulf. This wave will help to increase the moisture and
should help lead to slightly better convection coverage. 

.LONG TERM...Ridge will continue to remain over the region and
could shift south a tad. As this happens the wave on Thursday will
have pushed west and low level temps will continue to warm
possibly topping out around 20C and this should yield highs in the
mid 90s. Heat index readings should once again top 100 degrees Fri
through Sun. /CAB/

&& 

.AVIATION...Cumulus clouds generally between FL025 and FL035 at all
terminals and also have showers trying to develop near KGPT and well
south of KBTR as of 17z. Will continue to mention VCTS or VCSH at
all terminal starting no later than 21z. After the sun sets, showers
and thunderstorms will dissipate and ceiling will return to VFR
conditions. May see some patchy fog toward 12z with the most likely
terminal being KMCB. Any fog will dissipate by 15z. /Ansorge/

&&

.MARINE...Winds are beginning to slack off as high pressure builds
in over the area. High pressure will dominate the region through the
week leading to rather benign conditions for the most part. /CAB/

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS code: Blue
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: None.
                           	        
Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend 
Green  = No weather impacts that require action. 
Blue   = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or high 
         visibility event. 
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or 
         advisory issuances; radar support. 
Orange = High Impacts; Slight to Moderate risk severe; nearby tropical 
         events; HazMat or other large episodes. 
Red    = Full engagement for Moderate risk of severe and/or direct
         tropical threats; Events of National Significance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  71  90  70  92 /  20  10  10  10 
BTR  72  90  71  92 /  20  20  10  10 
ASD  72  89  72  91 /  10  10  10  10 
MSY  75  89  73  91 /  10  10  10  10 
GPT  74  88  73  90 /  10  10  10   0 
PQL  71  88  71  90 /  10   0  10   0 

&&

.LIX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

CAB