321 
FXUS64 KSJT 201657
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1157 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

.UPDATE...
Isolated showers have already developed along the I-10 corridor
and the Cu field continues to build across the southern half of
the CWA. Isolated convection was expanded north to cover roughly
the southern half of the CWA this afternoon. This activity will be
of the hit-or-miss variety and most of the area should remain dry.
Other minor changes were made to the sky and dewpoint grids, but
the remainder of the forecast looks good.

Johnson

&&

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period over most of
West Central TX. A diurnal Cu field will continue to expand across
the area this afternoon, with isolated showers (and a few
thunderstorms) along and south of a San Angelo to Brownwood line.
Expect cloud cover to dissipate this evening, but low stratus is
forecast to make a run at the southwest portion of the CWA again
late tonight. No ceilings were included at this time, but this
will bear watching.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 611 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016/ 

AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Expect mainly VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24
hours. The winds will generally be from the south to southeast at
around 10 knots this afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 412 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Going with a mainly dry forecast for the next 24 hours. Will keep
the slight chance Pops across far southern areas this afternoon.
Highs today will be in the lower 90s, with overnight lows in the
upper 60s to lower 70s.

LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)

Typical summertime weather expected this week as the subtropical
ridge continues to dominate our weather through the extended
period. The medium range models do show a mid level wave over the
Bay of Campeche by the end of the week, with this wave drifting
northwest along the Rio Grande to just south of the Texas Big Bend
by next Monday. This weakness in the ridge may result in isolated
showers or thunderstorms across far southern counties late next
weekend per latest GFS/ECMWF. Still considerable uncertainty
regarding the strength and track of this wave but given the model
consistencies, will include slight POPs across far southern
counties late next weekend.

Temperatures through Friday will be slightly above normal for
this time of year, with highs in the mid and upper 90s through
Friday. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected next weekend,
with highs generally in the lower to middle 90s. Overnight lows
will be in the low to mid 70s through the period. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 92  72  94  74 /   5   5   5   0 
San Angelo 	 93  71  95  72 /  10   5   0   0 
Junction 	 92  71  94  72 /  20   5   5   0 

&&

.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

25/99/99