964 FNUS71 KPHI 210900 FWSPHI SPOT FORECAST FOR SIXTEEN MILE...DCNR BUREAU OF FORESTRY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 500 AM EDT THU APR 21 2016 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0452 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN PA AND MUCH OF NJ (EXCLUDING COASTAL LOCATIONS). MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THESE AREAS WILL BE BELOW 30 PERCENT (IN SOME CASES AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT). HAVE ISSUED A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WINDS MAY NOT QUITE REACH CRITERIA (FREQUENT GUSTS OF 20 MPH OR MORE), AND THE WINDOW OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD BE RATHER NARROW BEFORE DEW POINTS BEGIN TO RISE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY. MEANWHILE, LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY, LEADING TO A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS OUR AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER OUR REGION THIS WEEKEND. A COMPLEX FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SETUP NEAR OUR AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............9 11 20 28 37 55 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................39 48 57 64 69 70 RH..................61 47 36 30 27 30 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 S 10 SW 12 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 15 CWR.................0 0 0 0 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. WIND SHIFT..........SLOWLY SHIFTING FROM SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY LATE TONIGHT TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............73 92 94 97 99 100 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 63 60 58 57 55 RH..................37 51 60 67 74 82 20 FT WIND..........SW 10 SW 7 SW 6 S 5 S 3 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 CWR.................10 20 30 30 30 30 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 20 30 30 30 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................40 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 16-25 STRIKES. WIND SHIFT..........NONE EXPECTED EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............100 100 97 94 91 91 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................55 57 62 65 68 68 RH..................86 83 70 65 59 59 20 FT WIND..........SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 10 CWR.................40 60 60 60 70 70 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 60 60 60 70 70 LAL.................1 1 1 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...JOHNSON REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20160421.SIXTE.01/PHI