993 FXUS65 KLKN 020911 AFDLKN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV 211 AM PDT SAT APR 2 2016 .SYNOPSIS...WARM THIS WEEKEND. DRY ON TODAY...WITH A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MAYBE EVEN A STRAY THUNDERSTORM. COOLER ON MONDAY WITH MORE RAIN POSSIBLE. DRY TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. MORE PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE LATE NEXT WEEK. && .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. RIDGE BEGINS TO FLATTEN AS ADVERTISED BY THE MODELS FOR A FEW DAYS NOW. MOISTURE INCREASES INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS NEXT SHORT WAVE ARRIVES. FRONTAL ENERGY PROVIDES ENOUGH LOW LEVEL LIFT TO OVERCOME WEAK INSTABILITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE REGION. AS SHORT WAVE PASSES OVER THE AREA...SHOWERS INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION BUT THUNDERSTORMS BECOME LESS LIKELY. TEMPS REMAIN WARM AND FREEZING LEVELS STAY WELL INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN SO THAT SNOW SHOWERS CONFINED TO HIGHEST MOUNTAINS. .LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING OUT OVER THE PACIFIC THEN MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. THERE IS A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN IN STORE FOR THE LKN CWFA AND THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT FOR MOST OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. MONDAY NIGHT. THERE MAY BE A FEW REMNANT SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH COMPLETES ITS EXIT EAST. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AROUND 7500 FEET AND AS SKIES BEGIN TO CLEAR...LOW TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 20S AND 30S. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BE A DRY PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND THE RIDGE AXIS WILL CROSS THE STATE...ATTAIN A SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TILT...AND FINALLY ALIGN THROUGH COLORADO AND WYOMING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE THROUGH THE 60S AND INTO THE 70S BY THURSDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S...BUT POSSIBLY REMAINING ELEVATED IN THE 40S IN MANY LOCALES THURSDAY NIGHT AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ENSUES. FRIDAY. THERE IS A LITTLE MODEL DISAGREEMENT BEGINNING THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE TRYING TO REMAIN ESTABLISHED WHILE A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SPINS OFF THE PACIFIC AND IS PROGGED TO BEGIN AFFECTING NEVADA FROM THE SOUTH. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SHOWERS DEVELOPING AS FAR NORTH AS ELKO COUNTY HOWEVER RAIN REACHING THE GROUND IS MORE LIKELY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 BY LATE FRIDAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY POP UP AS WELL SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50. NOT CERTAIN AS TO THE DEGREE OF WARMING AS THE INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS MAY NEGATE EFFECTS OF THE SOUTHERLY FLOW. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED IN THE 60S AND 70S. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. && .LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 98/92/92