306 
FXUS65 KLKN 071005
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
205 AM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND TRANQUIL
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A BATCH OF THIN HIGH CLOUDS
ARE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS MORNING. QUIET
CONDITIONS ARE BEING HAD BY ALL DUE TO A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE THAT IS STATIONED OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES.

FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...500 MB HEIGHTS WILL RISE DURING THE DAY AS
THE UPPER RIDGE CENTER SHIFTS SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH. THIS WILL
BRING MAINLY SUNNY SKIES OVER THE REGION. MANY AREAS IN NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEVADA HAVE A GOOD SNOW PACK AND THIS IS KEEPING
AFTERNOON HIGHS COOLER THAN WHAT IS NORMALLY SEEN WITH THESE KINDS
OF HEIGHTS. HAVE LOWERED HIGHS DURING THE WEEKEND BY A DEGREE OR
TWO BASED ON YESTERDAY'S OBSERVATIONS. LOOK FOR HIGHS IN THE LOW
30S TO MID 40S. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. BY TONIGHT...SKIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLEAR WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO TEENS.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN FIRMLY IN
CONTROL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA'S WEATHER DURING THIS
PERIOD. HAVE NUDGED HIGH TEMPERATURES UP SLIGHTLY EACH DAY. WHERE
THERE IS A GENEROUS SNOW PACK...HAVE TRIED TO LIMIT HIGHS TEMPERATURES
TO THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40. WHERE THE SNOW PACK IS
GONE...AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL INCREASE TO THE UPPER 40S TO AROUND
50. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO LOW 20S. DEPENDING ON THE MELTING SNOW...THE SURFACE
LAYER WILL MOISTEN UP AND THINKING IS FREEZING FOG MAY FORM...SO
HAVE INCLUDED THAT IN THE GRIDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. RIDGE OVER
THE WESTERN U.S. GRADUALLY WEAKENS/FLATTENS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME SLIGHT MODEL DISCREPANCIES BY THURSDAY AS THE
GFS IS A LITTLE QUICKER TO BEGIN PUSHING WHATS LEFT OF THE RIDGE
EAST...ALLOWING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE GREAT BASIN
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEST COAST TROUGH. MAY BEGIN TO SEE SOME
LIGHT PRECIPITATION MOVING INTO HUMBOLDT COUNTY BY NEXT SATURDAY AS
THE WEST COAST TROUGH MOVES ONSHORE. THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD AS
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY CLIMB MELTING SNOWPACK WILL INCREASE LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH MAY LEAD TO PATCHY FOG. ADDED FREEZING FOG TO
THE TUESDAY NIGHT EARLY WEDNESDAY WEATHER GRID...HOWEVER HELD OFF
THE ADDING FOG TO THE REMAINING MORNINGS IN THE LONG TERM
FORECAST. 

&&

.AVIATION...PATCHY FREEZING FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER SNOW
COVERED VALLEY AREAS OF NORTHERN NEVADA. OTHERWISE CONTINUED DRY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

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