417 
FXUS64 KMAF 190512
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1112 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation dicussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with increasing high clouds are the terminals the
next 24 hours. Winds will be mainly light and variable tonight
through late Saturday morning and then become mainly south to
southeast at 10 to 20 mph and gusty Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 456 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2015/ 

AVIATION...
VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected at the west
Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals the next 24 hours. Winds
will be mainly light southeast tonight and Saturday morning and
then mainly south at 10 to 15 mph and gusty Saturday afternoon.

12

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 147 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2015/ 

Flat upper ridging over the region today will transition to
southwesterly Saturday ahead of the next ua trough. Near normal
temperatures will persist through Saturday with temperatures
rising well above normal Sunday as the said ua trough passes by to
the north of the region. Dynamics associated with the trough will
be too far north to allow for any rain chances in our area.
Westerly winds will increase on Sunday with high winds possible in
the Guadalupe Mountains, and at least elevated Fire Weather
concerns. Will mention these concerns in the Hazardous Weather
Outlook for now.

A broad upper trough will remain over the ConUS through Christmas
Day with above normal temperatures persisting over the region for
the duration.  There may be a little of a cool down on Wednesday and
Christmas Eve next week, but the forecast will likely cleave toward
the middle of guidance offerings until there is a bit more agreement
on warmer or cooler temps.  Dry conditions will persist though with
another potential mountain high wind/fire weather concern day on
Tuesday as the base of the next ua trough passes by to the north of
the region.  A deeper ua trough is progged to form over the
southwest ConUS by next weekend and possibly give the area a chance
of precipitation and colder temperatures.  This is beyond the scope
of the current forecast, but stay tuned as wintry precipitation may
be in the cards for next Sunday or Monday. 

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$