754 
FXUS63 KIND 141839
AFDIND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
239 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

.UPDATE...
THE LONG TERM SECTION HAS BEEN UPDATED BELOW

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY WEATHER TO CENTRAL 
INDIANA THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN BRING CHANCES OF 
RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM.../REST OF TODAY/ 

ISSUED AT 953 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015 

ADDED A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER TO INDICATE THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING 
IN FROM THE WEST...BUT RESULT WILL STILL BE A DAY WITH AMPLE 
SUNSHINE. INCREASED TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES BASED ON THE 
HRRR AND RUC. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
 
EXPECT SOME PASSING SMALL PATCHES OF MID/HIGH CLOUD TODAY 
/AS CAN BE SEEN TO OUR WEST ON SATELLITE THIS MORNING/. HOWEVER 
SUNSHINE WILL STILL BE PLENTIFUL.

SUNSHINE COMBINED WITH WARM ADVECTION AND THE STILL DRY GROUND WILL 
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO GET TO THE WARMER OF THE MOS NUMBERS FOR HIGH 
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 232 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015 

ANOTHER STRAIGHTFORWARD FORECAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

HIGH PRESSURE COMBINED WITH RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO 
KEEP THE AREA DRY. TIME/HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW ONLY SOME PASSING 
MAINLY MID AND HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES...MEANING A MOSTLY CLEAR 
FORECAST FOR THE MOST PART.

WITH SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY AND SOME WARM ADVECTION...TEMPERATURES 
SHOULD REACH THE WARMER MAV MOS NUMBERS FOR HIGHS. ALSO STUCK CLOSE 
TO MOS FOR LOWS DURING THE NIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ISSUED AT 239 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN U S
AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED TO A QUASI-ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BY
THE END OF THE WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES SLOWLY
SUPPRESS THE RIDGE. 

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY TRACK EAST OUT OF THE
PLAINS FOR LATE WEEK...WITH PRESENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE DELAYING
ARRIVAL AND PASSAGE OF THE FRONT OVER CENTRAL INDIANA UNTIL LATE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES. MUCH OF FRIDAY MAY END UP BEING DRY WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION INCREASING LATE DAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT
ARRIVES FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH THE REGION BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH PRECIP ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REESTABLISH OVER THE REGION TO START OUT
EARLY NEXT WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL SLIP BACK INTO THE 70S FOR THE REST OF
THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR 141800Z TAF ISSUANCE/...
ISSUED AT 1251 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.

QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS THE OHIO VALLEY REMAINS ON THE BACK
SIDE OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGING ALOFT. WEAK UPPER WAVE
GENERATING SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER ILLINOIS WILL DRIFT
NORTHEAST THROUGH TONIGHT. LITTLE TO NO CU DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTIVE TEMPS UNREACHABLE.
OVERALL EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 20KTS AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON DROPPING OFF NEAR SUNSET AND BACKING TO S/SE. SOUTHERLY
WINDS AROUND 10KTS FOR TUESDAY WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 20KTS ONCE
AGAIN BY AFTERNOON.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. 

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...50 
NEAR TERM...50/CP
SHORT TERM...50 
LONG TERM....RYAN
AVIATION...RYAN