586 FNUS71 KLWX 072258 FWSLWX SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGARTREE FIRE...VA-DCR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 658 PM EDT MON SEP 7 2015 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1831 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...GENERALLY SOUTHERLY 8-12 MPH. DEW POINTS REMAIN NEAR 70...RESULTING IN RH VALUES IN THE 50S. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION...ALONG WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AND WINDS OUT AHEAD OF IT DURING THE DAY WED. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........78-84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500-5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 900-2600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-34600 KNOT-FT). TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%)..........10 9 8 6 7 11 20 25 25 24 25 27 29 32 31 31 30 32 39 44 48 56 60 WEATHER COV......PTY PTY WEATHER TYPE.....FOG FOG TEMP.............66 67 69 72 74 76 77 78 78 78 78 77 75 73 72 71 70 70 69 69 68 68 68 RH...............78 78 73 68 64 60 56 54 52 52 52 54 58 64 66 68 73 73 76 76 76 76 78 20 FT WIND DIR...W W W SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD...2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST..4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 7 CWR..............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 VRATE KT-FT/1000.0 0 3 6 11 17 25 32 35 34 31 28 22 14 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 70S. MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................40 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2100-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-44900 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO GOOD TO GOOD (51900-58100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%)..........59 58 57 54 46 43 49 61 68 66 64 63 WEATHER COV......CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE.....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP.............66 68 68 71 73 75 76 77 78 78 78 78 RH...............84 81 81 73 68 66 64 64 62 62 64 64 20 FT WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD...4 3 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST..4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 CWR..............40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60 VRATE KT-FT/1000.0 0 0 7 19 33 45 52 58 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...SEARS REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SABIN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20150907.SUGAR.01/LWX