344 
FXUS64 KHGX 052329
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
629 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...
ONLY A FEW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WHICH HAVE ALL DISSIPATED.
EXPECT VFR CIGS THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH MAYBE SOME LOW STRATOCU. DO
NOT EXPECT ANY CIGS TO DEVELOP. WINDS BECOME MORE SSW TOMORROW AND
THEN EXPECT SEA BREEZE TO PUSH INLAND SHIFTING WINDS TO SSE IN THE
AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE LESS AND THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL BE BUILDING TOMORROW AND FRIDAY. LEFT OUT ANY MENTION OF
CONVECTION.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED / 

DISCUSSION...

SEEING SOME ISO/WIDELY SCT PCPN ALONG THE SEABREEZE THIS AFTN WITH
MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING (AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN) ALONG/JUST
SOUTH OF I-10 THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS THIS SURGE OF SLIGHTLY HIGH-
ER PWS (AOA 2") MOVES OFF TONIGHT/TOMORROW...OUR RAIN CHANCES WILL
BE DECREASING FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. AS PER MODELS NOT A LOT OF
CHANGES WITH THE CURRENT FCST OF HOTTER TEMPS/CONTINUED DRY WX FOR
THE NEAR/MID TERMS AS THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST BUILDS EAST INTO
THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS. WE COULD SEE WIDESPREAD TRIPLE DIGIT MAX
TEMPS FOR SE TX OVER THE WEEKEND. CURRENT SPS/HWO PRODUCTS SEEM TO
HAVE THIS COVERED ATTM.

OUR NEXT BEST CHANCES FOR PCPN (AS SLIGHT AS IT MAY BE) MAY NOT BE
UNTIL LATE NEXT MON INTO TUE. A DEEPENING TROF OVER THE EAST COAST
COULD HELP NUDGE THE UPPER RIDGE A BIT MORE TO THE WEST...ALLOWING
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO MOVE DOWN INTO THE REGION. SLIGHT STREN-
GTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW COULD INCREASE PWS TO AROUND 2" FOR
THAT TIMEFRAME...AND POSSIBLY SOME ISO/WIDELY SCT PCPN. 41

MARINE... 
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ON SHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE IN TO THE WEEKEND. 
THERE WILL BE SUBTLE DIURNAL VARIATIONS WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS
AT NIGHT AND A S-SW COMPONENT TO THE WIND DIRECTION EACH MORNING.
SEAS WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET. 44

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      78 101  78 101  78 /  10  10  10  10  10 
HOUSTON (IAH)              80  99  80  99  80 /  10  10  10  10  10 
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  92  82  92  82 /  10  10  10  10  10 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...39