458 
FXUS64 KBMX 180452
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1152 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

THIS EVENINGS KBMX SOUNDING HAD OVER 5000 J/KG OF SBCAPE THANKS TO
AN EXTREMELY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. SURFACE DEWPOINT VALUES ARE STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S AT THIS HOUR AND EXPECT ANOTHER HUMID NIGHT TONIGHT. A FEW
SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE AREA EARLIER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY IS VOID OF ANY
ECHOES. THEREFORE...WENT AHEAD AND REMOVED ANY MENTION OF
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...THE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE
AND ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE HOURLY GRIDS.

05/MA


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL EARLIER THIS EVENING HAS LEAD TO MVFR
CONDITIONS PRESENTLY AT KEET. EXPECT CONDITIONS WILL DROP DOWN TO
IFR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AT KEET WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING NEAR 14-15Z. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
TERMINALS...EXPECT PATCHY MVFR FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR SUNRISE
WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 14-15Z WITH LIGHT WINDS
THROUGHOUT THE TAF CYCLE.

05/MA

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH BELOW AVERAGE
RAIN CHANCES...ALTHOUGH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR. NO FIRE
WEATHER ISSUES ARE ANTICIPATED.

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-
BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CHEROKEE-CHILTON-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-
FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-
MONTGOMERY-PERRY-PICKENS-PIKE-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-SUMTER-
TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON.

&&

$$