766 FNUS73 KPAH 141536 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR GORHAM TRACT...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 936 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2015 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH THE HEARTLAND TODAY. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND FINALLY NORTHEAST. AFTER A RELATIVELY WARM OR SEASONAL START TO THE DAY EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO PLUNGE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INTENSE INVERSION A FEW THOUSAND FEET AGL THAT WILL NOT ALLOW ANY MIXING ABOVE THAT LEVEL DAY OR NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN CLEARING LATE. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 37. RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING... THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH NORTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3100-3800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH EARLY..THEN INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 23 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 33 TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........78 90 70 38 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............37 36 35 33 RH..............56 54 43 34 20 FT WIND......W 14 NW 20 NNW 22 N 22 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 8. RH..................MAX 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 28 TO 35 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........12 9 17 31 44 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............26 19 15 12 11 9 RH..............33 38 44 47 47 49 20 FT WIND......N 22 N 16 N 13 N 10 N 9 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 20. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........74 82 87 90 94 97 WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE SNOW SNOW SNOW TSTM COV........ TEMP............8 9 13 17 20 20 RH..............52 49 43 38 38 42 20 FT WIND......NE 9 NE 8 NE 8 E 7 E 7 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...TYSON TAYLOR TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20150214.GORHA.01/PAH