980 
FXUS65 KLKN 021102
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
302 AM PST SUN NOV 2 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS NORTHEAST NEVADA THROUGH THIS MORNING.
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF FOR THE MOST PART BY LATE SUNDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
FOR NEXT WEEK.

&&

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. IR IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS THE
MEAN CIRCULATION OF THE GREAT BASIN TROUGH NOW OVER OVER MONTANA.
THERE IS AN EXTENSIVE WRAP-AROUND FLOW PARALLELING THE TROUGH
AXIS NOW CUTTING THROUGH IDAHO AND NORTHERN NEVADA. THERE IS A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY AS SNOW
SHOWERS CONTINUE IN THE COOLING AIR MASS. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

THIS MORNING. WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO NORTHEAST ELKO COUNTY. A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. A NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING A SMALL CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA IN A
CONTINUED WRAP-AROUND EFFECT AS THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST
INTO UTAH. HIGHS WILL LINGER IN THE 30S ACROSS NORTHERN ELKO
COUNTY AND GENERALLY RISE INTO THE 40S ELSEWHERE.SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. A POST-TROUGH NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP SNOW SHOWERS
GOING ACROSS EASTERN NEVADA. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE
BELOW NORMAL.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH VERY COLD AIR AND FEWER
CLOUDS...SOME FOG MAY DEVELOP EACH MORNING. OTHERWISE THIS WILL
MAINLY BE A DRY PERIOD AS WEAK RIDGING NUDGES INTO THE STATE.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A DIRTY FLOW ALOFT BRINGING IN PERIODIC
CLOUDINESS AND THERE IS A POSSIBILITY SOME SCANT MOISTURE WILL
CREEP INTO NORTHERN NEVADA OVER THE RIDGE. SINCE THERE WILL STILL
BE A NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE FLOW...A MAJOR WARMING IS NOT IN
THE CARDS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. A STRETCH OF QUIET 
WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH 
THE LONG TERM AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 
COAST BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE 
AXIS OF THE RIDGE TO BE POSITIONED THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN RESULTING 
IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL. 
 
SHORT WAVE ENERGY LIFTING OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE AND AFFECTING 
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL INTRODUCE SOME HIGH CLOUDS TO MAINLY 
NORTHERN AREAS FROM TIME TO TIME FROM THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK. 
OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS AND MAINLY CLEAR CHILLY NIGHT CAN BE 
EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEKEND.

$$

.AVIATION...SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL RESULT 
IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY OVER ELKO AND WHITE 
PINE COUNTIES TODAY. AS THE TROUGH MOVES EAST...H5 HEIGHTS BUILD 
INTO THE GREAT BASIN TONIGHT AND MONDAY. IN SPITE OF THE RIDGE 
BUILDING IN...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SPILL INTO NORTHERN NEVADA 
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. 

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR 
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY.

&&

$$

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