829 
FXUS64 KMAF 281842
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
142 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A strong upper low over the Great Basin this afternoon will swing 
into CO and NM late tomorrow before lifting into the Northern Plains 
on Tuesday.  A secondary lobe of the low will swing around the 
Rockies Wed/Thur sending cooler wx our way.  After that high 
pressure returns from the west.

Did have some fog across the Permian Basin this morning and may see 
some again tomorrow morning as the lower levels remain moist and 
should cool to near the dewpt.  The wind tonight will be generally 
light and easterly keeping the dewpts up.  Have cooled overnight 
lows a degree or two based on this mornings cool readings.  This 
morning MAF hit lows in the 50s for the second time this month with 
Marfa the coolest location to report at 48.  Temperatures will be on 
the increase the next few days and may reach the 90s by 
Wednesday...  but a cold front is expected to blow into the area 
Thursday.  Temps below normal for the last half of the week.

As of early afternoon have cu developing over the Davis Mtns so 
could see a few showers/storms kick up.  Model qpf does develop some 
light precip over the mtns down into the Marfa Plateau and northern 
Big Bend so will leave the isolated pops in for this evening.  Could 
see afternoon storms over the mountains again Monday but storms may 
also drift in from the west across Eddy and Culberson counties as 
the upper trough gets closer.  A few of these storms could be strong 
to severe Monday but better chance for severe wx will be farther 
north/closer to upper low. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 59  82  62  86  /  10  10  10  10 
BIG SPRING TX              61  84  64  88  /  10  10  10  10 
CARLSBAD NM                61  84  61  88  /  10  10  20  10 
DRYDEN TX                  66  89  67  92  /  10  10  10  10 
FORT STOCKTON TX           61  86  65  87  /  10  10  10  10 
GUADALUPE PASS TX          56  77  59  79  /  10  10  20  10 
HOBBS NM                   59  81  58  84  /  10  10  20  10 
MARFA TX                   49  81  54  84  /  20  20  20  10 
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    60  84  63  88  /  10  10  10  10 
ODESSA TX                  61  82  64  87  /  10  10  10  10 
WINK TX                    62  86  64  89  /  10  10  10  10 

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/72

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