888 FNUS75 KBOU 112111 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UTE CROSSING SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 311 PM MDT FRI JUL 11 2014 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1503 MDT ON JULY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000... WITH DECREASING ACTIVITY THEREAFTER. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 3-8 MPH RANGE. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 50S AFTER SUNSET AND THEN INTO THE UPPER 40S BY SUNRISE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47. MAX HUMIDITY........99%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300. CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 0300...THEN 1. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........52%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 6600-7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UTE CROSSING SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. FEEDBACK WELCOME. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20-FT G H L 15KFT MIXG TRANS VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/11-15 87 60 38 52 83 E 6 6 2 4 WSW 15 5136 WSW 10 44199 F 07/11-16 88 60 38 55 76 SE 3 3 2 4 WSW 17 5612 WSW 12 57263 F 07/11-17 88 60 38 59 66 SE 5 5 2 4 WSW 20 6087 WSW 13 70326 G 07/11-18 89 60 38 58 68 SE 5 5 2 4 WSW 22 6562 WSW 15 83389 G 07/11-19 87 60 38 57 72 SE 5 5 2 4 WSW 21 6045 WSW 14 73977 G 07/11-20 85 42 19 55 74 SSW 3 3 2 3 WSW 20 5527 WSW 14 64565 G 07/11-21 84 24 5 54 75 SW 5 5 2 2 WSW 20 5010 WSW 13 55152 F 07/11-22 82 23 5 52 76 SW 5 5 2 2 WSW 21 4214 WSW 13 46909 F 07/11-23 80 23 5 51 78 WSW 6 6 2 2 WSW 22 3417 WSW 13 38667 P 07/12-00 78 18 4 51 80 WSW 7 7 2 2 WSW 23 2621 WSW 14 30424 P 07/12-01 76 18 4 50 79 WSW 7 7 2 2 WSW 24 2467 WSW 13 27385 P 07/12-02 74 18 4 50 80 W 6 6 2 2 WSW 25 2313 W 12 24347 P 07/12-03 72 9 2 49 83 W 6 6 2 1 W 26 2159 W 12 21309 P 07/12-04 69 9 2 48 84 W 7 7 2 1 W 28 2219 W 13 24196 P 07/12-05 67 9 2 47 86 W 9 9 2 1 W 29 2278 W 14 27083 P 07/12-06 65 13 3 48 83 W 9 9 2 2 W 30 2337 W 15 29971 P 07/12-07 69 13 3 51 74 W 9 9 2 2 W 29 3794 W 16 59776 F 07/12-08 73 13 3 55 67 W 8 8 2 2 W 28 5251 W 18 89581 G 07/12-09 77 21 4 59 58 W 8 8 2 2 W 26 6707 W 21119386 V 07/12-10 81 21 4 61 53 W 7 7 2 2 W 22 7161 WNW 17107565 V 07/12-11 85 21 4 62 52 WNW 7 7 2 2 WNW 18 7615 WNW 15 95744 G 07/12-12 89 58 35 62 54 WNW 7 7 2 4 WNW 15 8069 WNW 12 83923 G 07/12-13 89 62 41 61 57 NNW 6 6 2 4 WNW 13 7848 WNW 10 67591 G 07/12-14 89 66 47 60 60 N 5 5 2 4 WNW 10 7626 NW 8 51260 F 07/12-15 90 66 47 59 65 NNE 5 5 2 4 WNW 9 7405 NW 6 34928 P 07/12-16 90 68 50 58 69 NE 5 5 2 4 NW 8 6883 NNW 5 29478 P 07/12-17 90 68 50 57 71 ENE 6 6 2 4 N 6 6362 NNE 5 24028 P 07/12-18 70 48 24 56 77 ENE 7 7 2 4 N 5 5840 NE 3 18578 P 07/12-19 70 48 24 54 81 E 7 7 2 4 NNE 5 5135 ENE 3 16778 P 07/12-20 70 48 24 52 85 E 6 6 2 4 E 3 4430 E 3 14978 P 07/12-21 64 28 8 50 89 ESE 6 6 2 4 E 2 3725 ESE 5 13179 P 07/12-22 64 28 8 48 97 ESE 6 6 2 4 ESE 3 3163 ESE 5 11901 P 07/12-23 64 28 8 48 97 E 6 6 2 4 SSE 5 2601 SE 5 10624 P 07/13-00 39 17 3 47100 E 6 6 2 3 S 6 2038 SE 6 9347 P 07/13-01 39 17 3 47 96 SE 6 6 2 3 SSW 7 1884 SSE 6 8874 P 07/13-02 39 17 3 46 94 SSW 5 5 2 3 SW 7 1730 S 6 8401 P 07/13-03 39 10 2 45 93 SW 5 5 2 2 WSW 8 1575 SSW 6 7927 P 07/13-04 39 10 2 44 94 SSW 5 5 2 2 W 8 1505 SSW 5 6722 P 07/13-05 39 10 2 44 92 SSE 3 3 2 2 WNW 9 1435 SW 5 5517 P 07/13-06 40 8 2 45 89 ESE 3 3 2 1 NW 9 1364 WSW 3 4312 P 07/13-07 40 8 2 49 78 E 3 3 2 1 NW 10 3176 W 6 22515 P 07/13-08 40 8 2 53 69 NE 5 5 2 1 NNW 12 4988 NW 8 40719 F 07/13-09 39 17 3 57 62 NNE 5 5 2 3 NNW 13 6799 NNW 10 58922 F 07/13-10 39 17 3 60 57 NE 5 5 2 3 NW 13 7559 NW 9 63807 G 07/13-11 39 17 3 61 57 ENE 6 6 2 3 WNW 12 8318 WNW 9 68691 G 07/13-12 63 44 21 61 58 E 6 6 2 4 WNW 12 9077 WNW 9 73575 G 07/13-13 63 44 21 61 57 E 7 7 2 4 WNW 13 8661 WNW 9 71782 G 07/13-14 63 44 21 60 57 ENE 7 7 2 4 NW 13 8244 NW 10 69988 G 07/13-15 63 44 21 60 55 ENE 8 13 2 4 NW 14 7828 NW 10 68195 G 07/13-16 63 44 21 59 59 ENE 9 14 2 4 NW 14 7095 NNW 9 57289 F 07/13-17 63 44 21 58 63 ENE 9 15 2 4 NW 14 6362 NNW 8 46383 F 07/13-18 71 39 17 57 67 ENE 9 15 2 4 NW 14 5629 NNW 7 35476 P 07/13-19 71 39 17 54 73 E 9 15 2 4 NNW 15 4833 NNW 6 26169 P 07/13-20 71 39 17 51 79 ESE 9 14 2 4 NNW 15 4037 N 5 16862 P 07/13-21 59 39 17 49 83 ESE 8 13 2 4 N 16 3241 N 2 7555 P 07/13-22 59 39 17 47 92 SSE 7 7 2 4 N 16 2969 NNW 5 10114 P 07/13-23 59 39 17 46 99 SW 6 6 3 4 NNW 17 2697 NNW 6 12674 P 07/14-00 54 10 2 46100 W 5 5 3 2 NNW 17 2425 NW 7 15233 P 07/14-01 54 10 2 45 97 W 6 6 3 2 NNW 20 2270 NNW 8 16486 P 07/14-02 54 10 2 45 89 WNW 8 13 3 2 NNW 21 2116 NNW 10 17738 P 07/14-03 36 10 2 44 86 NW 9 15 3 2 NNW 23 1961 NNW 12 18990 P 07/14-04 36 10 2 42 92 NW 9 14 3 2 NNW 25 1985 NNW 12 19860 P 07/14-05 36 10 2 42 94 NW 8 13 2 2 NNW 28 2010 NNW 12 20731 P 07/14-06 43 18 4 43 93 NNW 7 7 2 3 NNW 31 2035 NNW 13 21601 P 07/14-07 43 18 4 47 79 NNW 8 8 2 3 NNW 29 3690 NNW 15 52747 F 07/14-08 43 18 4 52 65 NNW 8 14 2 3 NNW 28 5345 NNW 16 83893 G 07/14-09 43 18 4 57 53 N 9 15 2 3 NNW 26 7000 NNW 18115039 V 07/14-10 43 18 4 60 47 N 9 15 2 3 NNW 22 7530 NNW 16 98963 G 07/14-11 43 18 4 62 43 NNE 8 14 2 3 NW 17 8060 NNW 13 82888 G 07/14-12 65 37 15 62 43 NE 8 13 2 4 NW 13 8590 NNW 9 66812 G 07/14-13 65 37 15 62 43 NE 8 13 2 4 WNW 13 8289 NW 8 56282 F 07/14-14 65 37 15 61 45 NE 8 13 2 4 W 12 7987 W 7 45753 F 07/14-15 65 37 15 61 46 NE 8 13 2 4 W 10 7686 W 6 35223 P 07/14-16 65 37 15 60 48 ENE 8 14 2 4 W 12 7238 W 6 33522 P 07/14-17 65 37 15 60 49 ENE 9 14 2 4 W 13 6789 WSW 6 31821 P 07/14-18 70 30 9 58 53 ENE 9 15 2 4 W 14 6341 SW 6 30121 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST VALID AT - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20-FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 15KFT WIND - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRANS WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...RPK REQUESTED BY...ROMO DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20140711.UTECR.01/BOU