102 
FXUS64 KOHX 081720
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1220 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
SURFACE FRONT HAS SAGGED DOWN INTO FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AT 17Z WITH
LOWERING SURFACE DEWPOINTS NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. LOWER TROPOSPHERE
WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO RELOAD WITH CLOUD COVER AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
HOLDING IT BACK INTO THE AFTERNOON BUT WE ARE BEGINNING TO SEE
MORE SUNSHINE ON VISIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN KENTUCKY DOWN
INTO WESTERN TENNESSEE. 40 KNOT WESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET HAS
CONTINUED TO WORK SOUTHWARD WITH FRONTAL APPROACH ADVECTING 2 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER IN THIS DIRECTION FROM NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. BELIEVE WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO WAIT A WHILE
FOR LOWER TROPOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE ENOUGH TO GET THINGS CRANKED
UP AGAIN...AND THIS MAY TAKE SOME TIME. WE COULD BE LOOKING AT
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH BEST AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT IN BOOTHEEL
AREA OF MISSOURI DOWN INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS WITH EASTWARD
MOVEMENT INTO WEST TENNESSEE AND EVENTUALLY INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
SOME DEVELOPMENT ALSO LIKELY JUST NORTH OF KENTUCKY BORDER THAT
WOULD WORK SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING. THIS IS COMPLEX TO SAY
THE LEAST AND TIMING UNCERTAIN. ANYWAY...LATEST THOUGHTS.





&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
BOYD
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