743 FNUS73 KMPX 181436 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRY CATER...MN DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 936 AM CDT SUN MAY 18 2014 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0925 CDT ON MAY 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ALTHOUGH A LITTLE MOISTURE HAS MOVED INTO MINNESOTA OVER THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS...STILL LOOKING FOR A VERY DRY AFTERNOON WITH BREEZY WINDS THAT WILL BE OUT OF THE SW THIS MORNING AND TRENDING TOWARD THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE SUSTAINED WINDS MAY ONLY TOP OUT AT 10 OR 15 MPH NEAR FLAME LEVEL. THERE SHOULD EASILY BE GUSTS NEAR OR GREATER THAN 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ONCE WE HEAT UP THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (105800-148800) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (135100-170200) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800-10600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 9700-10900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 8500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 69 71 73 72 67 RH..............38 30 27 26 29 36 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 10 SW 12 S 12 S 10 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62. RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...GRIESINGER REQUESTED BY...RUSS SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20140518.HARRY.01/MPX