317 FNUS71 KCTP 250909 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 30 RX...PAARNG NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 509 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BEGINS TO EXIT THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT GUSTY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20 MPH POSSIBLE. MIN HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE MID TO TLATE AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON...EARLY THIS EVENING AS IT WILL BRING CLOUDIER SKIES...INCREASED HUMIDITIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............53 57 63 66 71 79 84 87 93 96 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................42 46 51 55 57 59 60 60 61 62 RH..................56 50 44 39 38 39 39 40 41 42 20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 7 9 10 13 14 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15 20 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....15 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 25 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING WEST 1 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............95 92 91 90 87 85 83 80 81 81 79 64 WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 58 56 54 52 51 49 48 47 46 45 44 RH..................48 54 61 67 72 78 81 84 87 87 88 89 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE E E NE N NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 9 8 7 6 6 5 6 6 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.0 2.2 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW W W NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....24 23 21 18 15 12 6 1 1 9 21 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7600-8700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 36 TO 43 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............58 52 50 50 51 55 55 56 56 57 66 54 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 46 47 51 55 60 61 62 64 64 64 64 RH..................86 84 82 70 60 52 48 45 42 42 42 43 20 FT WIND DIR......NW W W W W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......10 8 7 7 8 9 12 14 15 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 15 20 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 1.1 1.4 2.9 4.8 6.6 7.6 8.2 8.5 8.7 8.6 8.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....30 26 24 29 36 41 43 41 39 39 39 38 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...CERU REQUESTED BY...SHANNON HENRY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20140425.RANGE.01/CTP