031 FNUS71 KCTP 250907 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 84...PGC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 507 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BEGINS TO EXIT THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON EXPECT GUSTY WINDS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20 MPH POSSIBLE. MIN HUMIDITIES WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE MID TO TLATE AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON...EARLY THIS EVENING AS IT WILL BRING CLOUDIER SKIES...INCREASED HUMIDITIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY THIS\ EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............53 57 63 67 70 78 81 84 91 94 WEATHER COV......... SCH CHC CHC LKY WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 45 49 54 56 58 60 60 61 62 RH..................57 49 42 36 35 36 36 37 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR......E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 7 9 10 13 14 10 12 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.6 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO WEST 21 TO 28 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............94 93 92 92 90 89 87 86 89 89 82 71 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................60 59 57 55 52 50 49 48 46 45 44 43 RH..................43 48 55 60 67 74 77 81 84 86 87 89 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE S W W W NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......10 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 6 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 2.7 2.1 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....25 24 22 20 17 14 9 6 5 12 21 28 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7300-9100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 29 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 33 TO 40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............65 59 49 57 53 56 56 56 56 58 66 57 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 45 46 50 54 58 60 61 62 62 62 62 RH..................86 84 81 69 60 52 48 45 42 43 43 44 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......9 8 8 8 8 9 10 13 15 16 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 15 20 15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.6 1.3 1.5 2.8 4.6 6.4 7.7 8.6 9.1 8.9 8.2 7.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....28 25 24 29 35 39 40 39 38 37 35 33 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...CERU REQUESTED BY...J CASE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20140425.SGL84.04/CTP