477 
FXUS64 KSHV 211930
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
230 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON APPROACHING 80 DEGREES ACROSS NORTH
LOUISIANA WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ELSEWHERE. CURRENT
SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A TROUGH OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA TO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...MOVING
EAST. CONVECTION AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH AXIS CONTINUES TO MARCH EAST
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
BEGINNING TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA NORTH OF THE RED
RIVER.

SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS THIS EVENING FROM MCCURTAIN
COUNTY OKLAHOMA TO TEXARKANA AND SHREVEPORT AND ALL POINTS
WESTWARD AHEAD OF AN UPPER-TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. MAIN
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION WILL BE ALONG A BOUNDARY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY ALONG THE RED RIVER BETWEEN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. AS FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS INTERSECTS THIS BOUNDARY ALONG THE RED RIVER...SCT
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME STORMS.
CONVECTION TO DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET.

FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH DRIER AIR
IN ITS WAKE. TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD TO
RANGE FROM HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RETURN TO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTS SOUTH
ACROSS THE REGION. FRONT TO STALL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ALLOWING FOR WET CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /05/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  81  58  82  61 /  60  10   0   0  10 
MLU  61  79  55  79  59 /  70  10   0   0  10 
DEQ  57  79  50  79  60 /  50  10   0   0  20 
TXK  61  79  54  80  60 /  60  10   0   0  10 
ELD  59  78  51  78  58 /  70  10   0   0  10 
TYR  61  80  59  81  61 /  50  10   0   0  10 
GGG  61  81  57  82  62 /  60  10   0   0  10 
LFK  63  82  61  84  63 /  30  10   0   0  10 

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

05/05