032 
FXUS64 KAMA 282048
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
348 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A TASTE OF SPRING IS RIGHT AROUND THE CORNER FOR THE PANHANDLES. A 
WEAK COLD FRONT MOVED THROUGH THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING AND HAS 
KEPT TEMPERATURES MILD IN THE 50S AND LOW 60S. 

SATURDAY WILL WARM NICELY INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WITH 
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. SOME DUST MAY BE KICKED UP 
BY THIS WINDS BUT IT SHOULD NOT SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER VISIBILITIES. 

SUNDAY REMAINS WARM AND WINDY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 
80S WITH A FEW SPOTS APPROACHING THE 90 DEGREE MARK. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY BEFORE TOPPING OUT BETWEEN 25 AND 
30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE CAPABLE OF 
PICKING UP DUST AND CAUSING LOCALIZED LOWER VISIBILITIES. 

THE SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING US THE STRONG WINDS PREVIOUSLY HAD SHOW 
THE POTENTIAL TO ALSO BRING SOME RAIN. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE 
SHIFTED THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTH WHICH PUTS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS 
PANHANDLES SQUARELY IN THE DRY SLOT OF THE SYSTEM. WHAT DOES THIS 
MEAN FOR OUR RAIN CHANCES...THEY COULD BE GONE WITH THE WIND. 

THE START OF NEXT WEEK IS LOOKING VERY NICE WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 
70S AND LIGHT WINDS. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DELIVER 
A GLANCING BLOW TO THE PANHANDLES TUESDAY WHICH WILL DROP TEMPS 
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST INTO THE 60S WHILE THE SOUTHWEST WARMS TO NEAR 
80. THERE IS A HINT AT SOME PRECIP TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BUT CHANCES 
REMAIN LOW. 

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS 
ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT WITH 20-FT WINDS OF 
15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. THE 
AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE 
ACROSS THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WHERE 
THE STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO 
OCCUR. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

ELEVATED AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 
SUNDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
CENTRAL AND WESTERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT WITH 20-FT 
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE WITH 20-FT WINDS
OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT THE QUESTION WILL 
BE IF 20-FT WINDS WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH DURING THE PERIOD OF LOWEST 
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. 

ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE 
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. 

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING 
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...HANSFORD...
     HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...
     SHERMAN.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...HARTLEY.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING 
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON...TEXAS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY 
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON.


&&

$$

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