453 
FXUS65 KLKN 211017
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
217 AM PST FRI FEB 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE AREA 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR DRY CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE...SEVERAL WEAK 
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS IDAHO BRINGING CLOUDS TO NORTHERN 
NEVADA AT TIMES.


&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS 
FORECAST PACKAGE. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL MAINTAIN 
A NORTHWEST FLOW OVER NEVADA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. MOST OF 
NORTHERN NEVADA AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEVADA  WILL REMAIN 
UNDER A DRY FLOW...BUT A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES OVER IDAHO WILL 
PRODUCE SOME CLOUDINESS OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. BB

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. FAIRLY GOOD MODEL 
AGREEMENT REMAINS IN THE LONG TERM. RIDGE AXIS WILL BE OVER THE CWA 
ON MONDAY WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. 
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE PACIFIC ON TUESDAY BUT RIDGE AXIS MOSTLY 
REMAINS IN PLACE SO ASIDE FROM A MODEST CHANCE OF WARM ADVECTION 
PRECIPITATION IN THE FAR NORTH AND A GENERAL INCREASE IN 
CLOUDS...STILL EXPECTING A MILD AND DRY DAY. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE 
APPROACHES ON WEDNESDAY AS THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS TO EXIT 
EASTWARD...WHILE DIFLUENCE ALOFT INCREASES AND MOISTURE INCREASES 
ENOUGH TO POSSIBLY CREATE A LITTLE INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...STILL 
EXPECTING A GENERALLY DRY AND MILD DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS SHORTWAVE 
CROSSES THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND NEVADA ITSELF ON THURSDAY 
WITH A GREATLY INCREASED ODDS OF PRECIPITATION. EVEN THIS FAR 
OUT...GFS GGEM AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT STILL SO 
GENERALLY INCREASED POPS ACROSS THE AREA. A GHOST OF THE RIDGE 
REMAINS IN PLACE AND THERE ISN'T MUCH COLD AIR BEHIND THE TROUGH SO 
SNOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY ABOVE THE VALLEY FLOORS...BUT 
CERTAINLY SOME SNOW IS LOOKING MORE AND MORE LIKELY IN THE 
MOUNTAINS...SAY ABOVE 7000 FEET OR SO. RCM


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CIGS AND VIS WITH WINDS GENERALLY BELOW 10 KNOTS AT 
ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RCM


&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

98/93/93