566 
FXUS64 KMEG 241116
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
516 AM CST TUE DEC 24 2013

.UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION. 


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 AM CST TUE DEC 24 2013/ 

ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH TODAY. HIGHS
WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S DESPITE MOSTLY CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

THE ARCTIC HIGH WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST TONIGHT...THUS BY
CHRISTMAS DAY EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL. A
BIGGER WARM-UP WILL OCCUR ON FRIDAY AS WINDS TURN AROUND TO THE
SOUTH. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE
AREA WHICH WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 50S.

ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH ON
SUNDAY. NORTHEAST ARKANSAS MAY SEE FALLING TEMPERATURES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE MUCH COLDER AS ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. READINGS WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S. 

EXPECT GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. ALTHOUGH
CAN/T RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES/FLURRIES OCCURRING WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT ON
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE NEW 00Z ECMWF SHOWS A
SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE ARCTIC
AIR PLUNGES INTO THE AREA. THE MODEL SHOWS SOME PRECIPITATION WITH
THIS SHORTWAVE WHICH WOULD FALL IN THE FORM OF SNOW IF THE
SOLUTION PANS OUT. SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST RUN IT HAS SHOWN THIS WILL
LEAN WITH THE GFS AND WILL CONTINUE WITH A DRY FORECAST FOR THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS.

KRM

AVIATION...12Z TAF SET

MVFR CIGS WILL LINGER AT MKL FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING BEFORE
WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS AT MEM POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE
NORTHERLY THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY SHIFTING FROM THE EAST THIS
AFTERNOON AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST TONIGHT.  

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  36  26  49  31 /   0   0   0   0 
MKL  31  18  46  25 /   0   0   0   0 
JBR  33  24  45  26 /   0   0   0   0 
TUP  36  21  48  29 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$