000 FNUS54 KJAN 201047 FWFJAN FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 .DISCUSSION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND MOISTURE CONTENT IS ON THE RISE THIS MORNING AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A STRONG AND SEVERE LINE OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO MOVED ACROSS THE REGION. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE SOUTH NEAR 30 MPH. THESE VALUES WILL FURTHER INCREASE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY TO NEAR 40 MPH. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE A LARGE AND POTENT LINE OF STORMS MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS IN THE STRONGEST OF STORMS COULD BE AS HIGH AS 70 MPH IN WESTERN FIRE DISTRICTS. TORNADOES COULD ALSO OCCUR WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE LINE WILL CLEAR INTO ALABAMA BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH WINDS TURNING WEST DURING THE DAY SUNDAY BEHIND THE FRONT. ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-202230- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 51 59 100 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+8) 67 (+8) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 70 (+16) 94 (-6) 67 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 9 S 11 G29 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 9 G17 S 10 G18 S 14 G32 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 9 7 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.25-0.50 >1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 999 1016 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3276 3333 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 S 17 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 28 S 38 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 11988 17272 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 91728 126654 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D C-D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 28 19 52 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-202230- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS- HOLMES- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...NORTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 52 58 98 TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+8) 66 (+8) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+22) 98 (-2) 67 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 12 S 14 G32 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 11 G20 S 12 G20 S 19 G36 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 9 6 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.25-0.50 >1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 969 1161 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3179 3808 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 S 19 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 S 41 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 11628 22059 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 82654 156128 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY C-D D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 26 19 53 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ028>033-037>039-202230- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...NORTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 41 35 69 TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+7) 63 (+9) 76 RH % (24H TREND) 69 (+31) 100 (+1) 71 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 11 S 13 G29 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 9 G18 S 11 G19 S 16 G31 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 4 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 0.50-1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1005 1320 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3297 4332 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 S 18 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 24 S 40 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 11055 23760 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 79128 173280 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 24 19 53 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ040>044-047>050-202230- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 35 34 83 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+8) 66 (+8) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+22) 94 (-5) 67 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 10 S 13 G29 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 11 G19 S 11 G19 S 16 G33 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 5 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 >1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 993 1306 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3257 4285 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 S 19 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 24 S 43 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10923 24814 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 78168 184255 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 25 19 56 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ MSZ045-046-051-052-057-058-202230- NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 24 20 58 TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+7) 64 (+9) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+28) 100 (0) 72 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 9 S 11 G27 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 9 S 9 S 14 G28 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 1 4 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 <0.10 0.10-0.25 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1063 1388 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3486 4555 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 10 S 18 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 S 40 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10630 24984 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 76692 182200 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D C-D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 24 19 53 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-202230- RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 38 39 100 TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+7) 68 (+7) 79 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+17) 95 (-5) 65 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 9 SE 13 G28 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 10 G17 S 10 G18 S 14 G33 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 2 7 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 >1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1102 1055 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3614 3462 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 S 17 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 S 38 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 13224 17935 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 93964 131556 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 29 19 52 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ053-054-059>062-202230- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...SOUTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 27 25 85 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+6) 68 (+8) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+15) 97 (0) 66 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 10 S 13 G28 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 11 S 10 G19 S 16 G33 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 1 6 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 <0.10 0.50-1.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1024 1358 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3361 4454 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 10 S 19 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 23 S 41 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10240 25802 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 77303 182614 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 28 19 58 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-202230- SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION- LAMAR-FORREST- 447 AM CST FRI DEC 20 2013 ...SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 21 20 59 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+7) 66 (+8) 78 RH % (24H TREND) 66 (+18) 100 (0) 69 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 8 S 10 G26 20FT WND/PM(MPH) S 10 S 8 S 14 G31 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 1 4 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 <0.10 0.25-0.50 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1077 1302 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 3535 4272 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 10 S 18 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 23 S 40 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10770 23436 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 81305 170880 STAG INDEX 2 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 5 STABILITY B-C D C-D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 26 21 53 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. $$