789 FNUS52 KILM 211926 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER COASTAL NEW ENGLAND WILL WEAKEN AT SEA FRIDAY. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BLAST THROUGH ON SATURDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY AND MOVE INTO NORTH CAROLINA MONDAY...BRINGING MUCH CHILLIER AIR. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING TUESDAY ALONG THE GULF COAST MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT RAIN FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE. NCZ105>110-221130- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 50 PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 51 74 56 68 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 5 SE 3 SW 7 NW 7 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 SW 7 N 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 INVERSION 1800 54/0600 1700 63/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 54 88 72 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3170 1970 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 13 VENTILATION RATE 41210 25610 ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 21 FAIR 6 VERY POOR 24 FAIR ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 35 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 6 6 MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 6 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-221130- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 50 PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 50 74 55 68 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 4 E 4 SW 6 NW 6 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 W 6 N 10 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 INVERSION 1800 54/0700 1700 61/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 56 93 71 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3190 2180 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 N 16 VENTILATION RATE 47850 34880 ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 27 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 31 FAIR ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 37 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 36 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 6 7 MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 7 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-221130- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 40 PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 52 74 55 73 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 5 SE 4 S 6 W 6 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 6 NW 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 INVERSION 1800 56/0700 1700 65/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 100 57 93 64 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3140 1930 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 N 17 VENTILATION RATE 40820 32810 ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 26 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 21 FAIR ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 33 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 34 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 6 7 MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 7 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. $$ SCZ032-033-039-221130- FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 40 PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 51 73 55 72 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 4 E 3 SW 5 W 5 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 SW 5 N 8 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 INVERSION 1800 55/0700 1700 64/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 99 58 95 67 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3230 2000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NE 20 VENTILATION RATE 41990 40000 ADI EARLY 5 VERY POOR 29 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 20 GEN POOR ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 33 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 39 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 7 8 MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 8 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 22 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-024-221130- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON 226 PM EST THU NOV 21 2013 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 20 20 50 PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 48 72 55 67 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NE 4 E 3 SW 5 NW 5 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 W 5 N 9 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 INVERSION 1800 53/0800 1700 60/0900 MAX/MIN RH (%) 96 59 93 75 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 2 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2920 2190 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 N 13 VENTILATION RATE 43800 28470 ADI EARLY 4 VERY POOR 29 FAIR 4 VERY POOR 29 FAIR ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 36 FAIR 1 VERY POOR 34 FAIR MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 7 MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 7 4 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 22 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 5