083 FXUS62 KJAX 110147 AFDJAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 945 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013 .UPDATE... TSTM ACTIVITY HAS COME QUICKLY TO AN END THIS EVENING WITH THE LAST OF IT BEING TRIGGERED BY MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THAT HAS A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS MARION COUNTY THAT WILL DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE FAIR SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH SEASONABLE LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S INLAND AND MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST. A MORE ACTIVE DAY IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS COLD FRONT/TROF PUSHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AND PUSHES TROPICAL AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS AROUND 2 INCHES INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL SUPPORT A MORE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM REGIME BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS LOCAL SEA BREEZES FROM BOTH COASTS BECOME ACTIVE AND PUSH INLAND. STEERING FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE S/SW WITH STORM MOVEMENT N/NE AT 10 MPH OR LESS AND THIS WILL PRODUCE A GOOD COLLISION OF SEA BREEZE FRONTS OVER INLAND AREAS. THIS WILL KICK OFF A FEW STRONG/ISOLD SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE FROM MICROBURSTS AND ALSO FREQUENT LIGHTNING. SLOW ENOUGH STORM MOTION WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. MAX TEMPS WILL TOP OUT NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS IN THE UPPER 80S COAST AND LOWER 90S INLAND. && .AVIATION... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING...WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AT KGNV/KVQQ TOWARD DAWN. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE REGION...ALONG WITH DIURNAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. && .MARINE... SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL INCREASE TONIGHT CLOSE TO 15 KNOTS AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. SEAS GENERALLY IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE TONIGHT AND 3-5 FT RANGE THURSDAY. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 71 91 73 87 / 10 70 70 70 SSI 77 87 75 85 / 0 50 60 60 JAX 73 91 73 88 / 10 60 60 70 SGJ 74 88 74 87 / 10 50 50 60 GNV 71 90 71 90 / 20 60 50 60 OCF 71 91 72 90 / 30 60 50 60 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && $$ HESS/STRUBLE/MCALLISTER