967 
FXUS63 KMPX 010442
AFDMPX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1142 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

THE INITIAL UPPER SHORT WAVE ROTATING AROUND EASTERN CONUS LOW...IS 
MOVING SOUTH OVER IOWA THIS AFTERNOON.  APPEARS SOME HIGH LEVEL 
MOISTURE WAS CAUGHT UP IN THE COL PATTERN AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH 
AXIS DROPPING INTO NORTHERN MN. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH SMOKE
FROM CANADIAN FOREST FIRES WAS BROUGHT IN WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED WAVE...AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNTIL THIS NEXT
TROUGH ARRIVES OVERNIGHT. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH EITHER FEATURE AND IT WILL REMAIN MAINLY CLEAR
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL OFF AS WELL...WITH LOWER
DEWPOINTS AND LIGHT WINDS.

A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUNSHINE AROUND AGAIN FOR MONDAY AS THE WEAK 
CANADIAN COLD FRONT DROPS OVER THE AREA.  WONT COOL OFF AT ALL IN 
THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT/TROUGH AND LARGE CANADIAN HIGH BUILDS 
SOUTHEAST.  WILL STILL SEE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FOR HIGH 
TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS.  

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

DURING THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST...THE AREA WILL LIE 
BETWEEN A WEAKENING WESTERN CONUS RIDGE...AND A RETROGRADING
WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO A TRANQUIL PERIOD
OF WEATHER FOR THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY...WHICH
WILL INCLUDE LIGHT WINDS AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL
MAINLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FROM TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND THEN MODERATE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AS SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
CANADIAN COLD FRONT. AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE
CONCERNED...WILL MOST LIKELY NOT SEE MEASURABLE ACTIVITY UNTIL
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT ARRIVES AND
HAS MORE MOISTURE WITH WHICH TO WORK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1033 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013

VFR CONDS THROUGHOUT THIS TAF SET. MAINLY CLR OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED
BY MIDLVL CU WITH UPPER LVL CI FOR MUCH OF TMRW...ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE SOME SMOKE THAT DEEP NW FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING DOWN FROM
CENTRAL CANADA. N TO NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THRU TMRW...WITH LGT
WINDS OVERNIGHT INCRG TO NEAR 10 KT DURG THE DAY TMRW.

KMSP...VFR THROUGHOUT THIS PERIOD. FEW MIDLVL CU WITH FEW-SCT HIGH
CI WILL BE THE PREVAILING THEME. MAINLY N WINDS THRU TNGT THEN NE
WINDS TMRW. LGT SPEEDS OVERNIGHT INCRS TO ARND 10 KT TMRW.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. WINDS NNE 5-10 KT. 
WED...VFR. WINDS NE 5 KT. 
THU...VFR. WINDS SE 5 KT.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DWE
LONG TERM...LS
AVIATION...JPC